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3 Top Auto OEM Stocks With Solid Estimates Revision in a Tough Scenario
ZACKS· 2026-02-24 13:15
Industry Overview - The U.S. automotive OEM industry is currently facing a challenging environment with vehicle sales expected to moderate in 2026 due to high interest rates, elevated car prices, and tighter household budgets impacting affordability [1] Company Highlights Modine Manufacturing Co. (MOD) - Modine reported third-quarter fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings of $1.19 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.99 per share, with quarterly revenues of $805 million surpassing estimates by 5.90% [4] - The company is experiencing strong growth driven by increasing data center demand, expanding margins, and disciplined portfolio transformation, with management expecting 50-70% annual growth in the data center business over the next two fiscal years [5][6] - Modine's Climate Solutions segment is showing margin expansion, with expectations of segment margins in the 20-21% range for the fourth quarter and a fiscal 2027 margin target of 20-23% [7] - The company is advancing its portfolio transformation through a Reverse Morris Trust, which will position it as a pure-play diversified Climate Solutions company, with the deal expected to close in the fourth quarter of calendar year 2026 [8] - Modine has an expected revenue growth rate of 21.3% and an earnings growth rate of 49.9% for the next year ending March 2027, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for next year's earnings improving by 0.6% in the last seven days [9] Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. (ATMU) - Atmus reported fourth-quarter 2025 earnings of $0.66 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.57 per share, with revenues of $446.6 million exceeding estimates by 5.75% [12] - The company has an expected revenue growth rate of 13% and an earnings growth rate of 7.3% for the current year, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current year's earnings improving by 4.6% in the last seven days [12] LCI Industries (LCII) - LCI Industries posted fourth-quarter 2025 earnings of $0.89 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.69 per share, with quarterly revenues of $932.7 million exceeding estimates by 1.59% [14] - The company has an expected revenue growth rate of 3.5% and an earnings growth rate of 17.8% for the current year, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current year's earnings improving by 7.2% in the last seven days [15]
Garmin's Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Increase Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-10-30 13:26
Core Insights - Garmin Ltd. reported third-quarter 2025 pro forma earnings of $1.99 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.5%, but the earnings remained flat year-over-year [1] - Net sales reached $1.77 billion, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.1%, yet showing a 12% increase from the same quarter last year, driven by strong performance in the Fitness, Aviation, and Marine segments [1] Segment Performance - **Outdoor Segment (28.1% of Net Sales)**: Generated sales of $497.6 million, down 5% year-over-year due to weak consumer auto and adventure watch sales, with an operating income of $170 million and a 34% operating margin [2] - **Fitness Segment (33.9%)**: Recorded sales of $601 million, reflecting a 30% year-over-year increase, driven by strong demand for advanced wearables, with an operating income of $194 million and a 32% operating margin [3] - **Aviation Segment (13.6%)**: Achieved sales of $240.4 million, up 18% year-over-year, supported by strength in OEM and aftermarket products, with an operating income of $61 million and a 25% margin [4] - **Marine Segment (15.1%)**: Posted sales of $267 million, up 20% year-over-year, with an operating income of $49 million and a 19% margin [4] - **Auto OEM Segment (9.3%)**: Sales reached $164.8 million, down 2% year-over-year, with an operating loss of $17 million and a gross margin of 15% [5] Financial Results - Gross profit increased by 10% year-over-year to $1.05 billion, while gross margin contracted by 90 basis points to 59.1% [6] - Operating expenses rose by 15% year-over-year to $590 million, with operating income increasing by 4% to $456.8 million, and operating margin contracting by 180 basis points to 25.8% [6] Balance Sheet & Cash Flow - As of September 27, 2025, Garmin held $2.54 billion in cash and marketable securities, a slight decrease from $2.59 billion in the previous quarter [7] - Generated operating cash flow of $486 million and free cash flow of $425 million in the third quarter, with total operating and free cash flows for the first three quarters of 2025 at $1.08 billion and $933.3 million, respectively [7] Guidance Update - Garmin raised its 2025 pro forma EPS guidance to $8.15 from $8.0, reflecting confidence in continued margin strength, while projecting revenues for 2025 at $7.1 billion, unchanged from previous guidance [9][10] - The company anticipates a gross margin of 58.5% and an operating margin of 25.2% for 2025, an increase from the previous guidance of 24.8% [11]
Garmin(GRMN) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-30 14:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenue increased by 11% to $1.54 billion, setting a new first-quarter record, with gross and operating margins at 57.6% and 21.7% respectively, leading to record operating income of $333 million, up 12% year over year [4][17] - Pro forma EPS rose by 13% year over year to $1.61, while GAAP EPS was reported at $1.72 [17][4] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - **Fitness Segment**: Revenue increased by 12% to $385 million, driven by strong demand for advanced wearables, with operating income of $78 million and gross margin of 57.2% [10][11] - **Outdoor Segment**: Revenue surged by 20% to $438 million, with operating income of $129 million and gross margin of 64.2% [12] - **Aviation Segment**: Revenue grew by 3% to $223 million, with operating income of $48 million and gross margin of 75% [13][14] - **Marine Segment**: Revenue decreased by 2% to $319 million, with operating income of $87 million and gross margin of 58.2% [15] - **Auto OEM Segment**: Revenue increased by 31% to $169 million, with a gross margin of 18% and a narrowed operating loss of $9 million [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue growth by geography showed 23% growth in EMEA, 9% in APAC, and 4% in the Americas [18] - Approximately 40% of revenue is generated in non-U.S. Dollar currencies, benefiting from a weaker U.S. Dollar [9][21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is adapting to a dynamic global trade environment, with a focus on mitigating tariff impacts and maintaining a diversified business model [5][10] - New product launches, such as Garmin Connect Plus and the Vivoactive six smartwatch, are part of the strategy to enhance customer engagement and drive revenue growth [11][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted a modest reduction in demand due to the current trade environment, but emphasized strong product lines and a resilient business model [10][9] - The company is maintaining its revenue growth estimates for various segments, with a cautious outlook on potential demand shifts [10][14] Other Important Information - The company updated its full-year 2025 guidance, estimating revenue of approximately $6.85 billion, reflecting favorable foreign currency impacts and modest demand weakening [21][22] - The effective tax rate for the quarter was reported at 14.5%, down from 15.6% in the prior year [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Demand trends across segments and inventory building - Management indicated no signs of weakness in demand, with strong sell-through rates and no overstocking observed [25][26] Question: Launch timing of Garmin Connect Plus - The decision to launch was driven by advancements in AI-based insights, with positive initial customer reception [28][30] Question: Disaggregation of demand weakness versus FX tailwinds - Management refrained from providing specific figures but acknowledged a modest decrease in demand while highlighting FX benefits [35][38] Question: Mitigation strategies for tariffs - Management is evaluating various mitigation strategies on a case-by-case basis, including sourcing actions and pricing adjustments [40][42] Question: Marine segment promotional timing - The decrease in marine revenue was attributed to the timing of promotions, with expectations of a ripple effect into the second quarter [49][50] Question: Consumer demand outlook for the second half - Management remains cautiously optimistic, factoring in potential softness but noting strong current demand [55][56] Question: Subscription and software revenue reporting - Subscription revenue will be reported separately once it reaches 10% of consolidated revenue [71][72] Question: Impact of tariffs on aviation products - The impact is limited as most aviation manufacturing occurs in the U.S., though some materials are sourced internationally [84]
Garmin(GRMN) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-30 14:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenue increased by 11% to $1,540,000,000, setting a new first-quarter record, with gross and operating margins at 57.6% and 21.7% respectively, leading to record operating income of $333,000,000, up 12% year over year [4][17] - Pro forma EPS rose by 13% year over year to $1.61, while GAAP EPS was reported at $1.72 [17] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - **Fitness Segment**: Revenue increased by 12% to $385,000,000, with operating income of $78,000,000 and margins at 57.2%. The segment is expected to grow by 15% for the year due to strong demand for advanced wearables [10][11] - **Outdoor Segment**: Revenue grew by 20% to $438,000,000, with operating income of $129,000,000 and margins at 64.2%. The segment is expected to maintain a 10% growth estimate for the year [12][13] - **Aviation Segment**: Revenue increased by 3% to $223,000,000, with operating income of $48,000,000 and margins at 21.5%. The growth estimate for 2025 remains at 5% [13][14] - **Marine Segment**: Revenue decreased by 2% to $319,000,000, with operating income of $87,000,000 and margins at 58.2%. The segment is expected to be flat for 2025 [15] - **Auto OEM Segment**: Revenue surged by 31% to $169,000,000, with a narrowed operating loss of $9,000,000. The growth estimate for 2025 is maintained at 7% [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue growth by geography showed 23% growth in EMEA, 9% in APAC, and 4% in the Americas [18] - Approximately 40% of revenue is generated in non-U.S. Dollar currencies, benefiting from a weaker U.S. Dollar [8][21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is adapting to a dynamic global trade environment, with a focus on mitigating tariff impacts and maintaining a diversified business model [5][10] - New product launches, including Garmin Connect Plus and the Vivoactive six smartwatch, are part of the strategy to enhance customer engagement and drive revenue growth [11][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains optimistic despite headwinds from tariffs and economic uncertainty, citing strong product lines and a resilient business model [10][21] - The company has updated its full-year guidance to reflect first-quarter results and current market assessments, estimating revenue of approximately $6,850,000,000 [21][22] Other Important Information - The company is pursuing various mitigation strategies for tariffs, including sourcing adjustments and potential pricing actions [39][60] - Free cash flow for the first quarter was $381,000,000, with expectations of approximately $1,100,000,000 for the full year [19][20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Demand trends across segments and inventory building - Management has not observed any significant weakness in demand, with strong sell-through rates and no indication of retailers overstocking [25][26] Question: Launch timing of Garmin Connect Plus - The decision to launch Connect Plus was driven by advancements in AI and a strong user base, with positive initial reception [28][29] Question: Disaggregation of demand weakness and FX tailwinds - Management indicated that while there is a possibility of modest demand reduction, the overall sentiment remains strong [36][37] Question: Mitigation tools for tariffs - The company is evaluating various mitigation strategies on a case-by-case basis, with no significant changes expected in the global footprint [39][41] Question: Marine segment revenue outlook - The decrease in marine revenue is attributed to timing shifts in promotions, with expectations of some impact into the second quarter [48][49] Question: Consumer demand outlook for the second half - Management included a conservative estimate for potential demand softness but noted strong current demand [55][56] Question: Pricing power and potential impacts from tariffs - Pricing actions are being evaluated on a case-by-case basis, with management committed to maintaining market share [59][60] Question: Performance across geographies - EMEA outperformed due to strong growth in wearables, while the Americas were impacted by lower growth in marine and aviation segments [66][67] Question: New product introductions and revenue guidance - The company anticipates significant contributions from new product releases throughout the year [76][77]