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【医药】巨头加码验证减肥药赛道价值,看好产业链黄金发展期——医药生物行业跨市场周报(20250928)(王明瑞)
光大证券研究· 2025-09-29 23:06
Market Overview - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology index declined by 2.20%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.27 percentage points and the ChiNext index by 2.29 percentage points, ranking 24th among 31 sub-industries [4] - The H-share Hang Seng Healthcare Index fell by 2.79%, lagging behind the Hang Seng Index by 1.01 percentage points [4] Key Insights - Pfizer announced the acquisition of Metsera and its next-generation weight loss product portfolio for approximately $4.9 billion, with additional contingent value rights potentially adding up to $2.25 billion per share based on specific clinical and regulatory milestones [5] - This acquisition follows similar moves by Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk, highlighting the significant potential and long-term viability of the weight loss drug market, as well as the industry's urgent demand for next-generation therapies [5] - The global GLP-1 research and development competition has entered its "second half," where depth of the supply chain, technological iteration capabilities, and cost control will be critical for success [5] - The commercialization of domestic weight loss drugs is imminent, making sales capabilities a crucial factor for future competitive advantages, with companies that have leading R&D progress and strong sales execution likely to dominate [5] - The entire GLP-1 supply chain is expected to continue its upward trend in market conditions due to sustained demand expansion [5] Investment Strategy - The company emphasizes the need to select investment opportunities structurally, focusing on the core contradiction between payment willingness and payment capability amid complex changes in population structure, policy frameworks, and economic environments [6] - Three main directions are highlighted for investment: support for in-hospital policies (innovative drugs and devices), expansion of public demand (blood products, home medical devices, weight loss drug supply chain), and an upward cycle for overseas sales (heparin, respiratory joint inspections) [7]
Lexaria's DehydraTECH Technology Has the Potential to Unlock Accelerated Revenue Growth in the GLP-1-Industry
Thenewswire· 2025-07-23 13:25
Industry Overview - The GLP-1 weight loss and diabetes control sector is currently the fastest growing pharmaceutical sector globally, with revenue expectations exceeding $100 billion annually [2] - Updated projections indicate that the GLP-1 industry could generate over $156 billion in revenue by 2030, with a significant growth of 31% expected in 2025, reaching $70.1 billion [3] Challenges in the GLP-1 Sector - The GLP-1 industry faces significant challenges due to unwanted adverse effects, particularly gastrointestinal issues such as nausea, vomiting, diarrhea, and constipation [4] - Discontinuation rates among GLP-1 users with type 2 diabetes are high, with studies showing that 47% to 64% of users stop their medication within 1 to 2 years, primarily due to gastrointestinal adverse effects [5][6] Company Innovations - Lexaria Bioscience Corp. has developed DehydraTECH technology, which aims to reduce side effects associated with GLP-1 drugs, potentially improving patient retention and industry growth [8][9] - DehydraTECH has shown promise in clinical testing for reducing gastrointestinal adverse effects in the top GLP-1 drugs, including semaglutide, tirzepatide, and liraglutide [10] Strategic Initiatives - Lexaria is pursuing a multi-faceted strategy to attract pharmaceutical companies to adopt its DehydraTECH technology, evidenced by a material transfer agreement with a pharmaceutical company announced in September 2024 [11]