Across boardrooms, one question keeps surfacing: is our expanding technology budget translating into results? 2025 brought big budgets and bigger expectations, yet many organisations didn’t see performance keep up with investment. In 2026, the winners won’t be those who spend the most, rather they’ll be the ones who convert spend into outcomes and business value. That takes discipline: transparency and connection to business outcomes you can defend to the board, governance for AI, and Technology Business M ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is Attractive, with a strong appeal due to growth potential in IT and software sectors [5][9]. Core Insights - IT spending for digital transformation (DX) is booming, driven by the declining working-age population in Japan, which necessitates increased IT investment as a manpower substitute [9][24]. - The report highlights several investment themes, including cloud services (SaaS/data centers), Windows 10 upgrade demand, increased defense spending, and government digitalization initiatives [10][35][39]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report anticipates minimal direct impact from the increase in US tariffs on the industry [2]. - Cash flow levels at firms have risen significantly, indicating strong financial health [3]. - The working-age population decline is exacerbating labor shortages, prompting a greater focus on digitalization among management [7]. Investment Themes - Key investment themes include: - Cloud business (SaaS/data centers) [10]. - Demand for Windows 10 upgrades as support ends in October 2025 [38]. - Increased defense budget, projected to rise to approximately ¥43.5 trillion [39]. - Government initiatives for digital transformation in public administration [39]. Financial Performance - The report notes that valuations in the industry do not appear overheated, allowing for a focus on fundamentals and thematic stocks [9]. - The expected growth in IT spending is projected at a 5-year CAGR of 8% through 2028, with software investment growing at 10% and IT services at 7% [23][26]. Company Focus - Preferred stocks include: - OBIC Business Consultants (OBC), with a strong shift to cloud business and high recurring revenue [11][40]. - NTT Data, expected to see significant profit increases from its data center business [47]. - NEC, benefiting from the defense budget expansion and government digitization projects [51]. Market Trends - The report indicates that cloud spending in Japan is only 12% of total IT spending, compared to 37% globally, suggesting substantial growth potential [38]. - The overall IT spending in Japan is projected to reach ¥8,491 billion by 2025, reflecting a growth of 9.5% [33].