人民财讯11月26日电，近年来，全国工业机器人市场持续火热。根据国家统计局数据，今年1—10月我 国工业机器人产量达到60.27万台，同比增长28.8%，已超过2024年全年，产量创出新高。 据证券时报·数据宝统计，A股市场中布局工业机器人的概念股达到50只，主要从工业机器人整机及零件 生产、减速器、线缆等领域进行布局。从今年以来股价表现来看，概念股年内平均上涨32.41%，卧龙 电驱（600580）、中大力德（002896）、工业富联（601138）年初至今股价实现翻倍，万马股份 （002276）、新时达（002527）累计涨幅在80%以上。 我国工业机器人产量一览 单位:万台 60.27 55.64 44.31 42.95 36.60 23.71 20203 2021年 2024年 2025年前10月 20229 2023年 前三季度研发费用增幅居前 的工业机器人概念股一览 研发费用 研发费用 年内涨跌幅 同比增长 代码 简称 占营业收入 (%) (%) 比例(%) 86.29 20.64 688165 埃夫特-U -21.82 688290 景业智能 64.87 23.14 30.64 22.37 7. ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China Industrial Sector**, highlighting various indicators and trends in manufacturing, automation, and related industries. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Manufacturing Fixed Asset Investment (FAI)**: - Manufacturing FAI remained negative for the fourth consecutive month, recording a decline of **-6.9% year-over-year (yoy)** in October, worsening from **-1.8% yoy** in September [3][53] - Chemical FAI was at **-7.9% yoy** (compared to **-5.6% yoy** in September) and steel FAI at **-2.0% yoy** (improved from **-3.3% yoy** in August) [3][28] 2. **Production Trends**: - Machine tool production increased by **+6% yoy** but declined **-13% month-over-month (mom)**, while industrial robot production rose by **+18% yoy** but fell **-24% mom** [3][43] - Key equipment exports showed mixed trends, with machine tools export value accelerating to **+31% yoy** [4] 3. **Order Growth in Automation Companies**: - Orders for automation companies moderated, with Inovance's IA orders growing **+13% yoy** (down from **+33% yoy** in September) [4][15] - Yiheda's orders slowed to about **+10% yoy** in October from **+20% yoy** in September [4][19] 4. **Positive Developments in AIDC Capex and Energy Storage Systems (ESS)**: - AIDC capital expenditure and ESS showed growth, with expectations of **40%-50% global ESS industry installation growth in 2026** despite uncertainties in the US market [8] 5. **Macro Indicators**: - China's manufacturing PMI decreased to **49.0** in October from **49.8** in September, indicating contraction [49] - Headline CPI inflation edged up to **+0.2% yoy** in October, while PPI inflation was **-2.1% yoy** [51] 6. **Capex Financing**: - Capex financing surged **+92% yoy** in October, recovering from a weak **+19% yoy** in September [66] 7. **Profitability Metrics**: - The profit before tax (PBT) margin for industrial enterprises with revenue over **Rmb20 million** was **5.4%** in Q3 2025, slightly down from **5.5%** in Q2 2025 [72] 8. **Electricity and Production Metrics**: - October electricity generation increased by **+9.5% yoy**, while cement production fell **-15.8% yoy** [82][84] - Steel production also declined by **-7.9% yoy** in October [88] Additional Important Insights - The report indicates a general slowdown in various sectors, particularly in manufacturing and automation, with some exceptions in specific areas like AIDC and ESS. - The mixed signals in export trends and order growth suggest a cautious outlook for the industrial sector moving forward. - The increase in capex financing may indicate a potential rebound in investment, but the overall economic environment remains challenging. This summary encapsulates the critical data and insights from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state of the China industrial sector.

Core Insights - The Chinese industrial robot industry is experiencing significant growth, with production reaching 595,000 units in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 29.8%, surpassing the total production for 2024 [1] - Domestic brands are gaining market share over foreign brands in the industrial robot sector, with exports of industrial robots increasing by 54.9% [1] - The localization of key components such as controllers, servo systems, and reducers is enhancing cost efficiency and supply chain stability [1][3] Policy and Market Drivers - Multiple factors, including policies and demand, are driving the growth of the Chinese industrial robot industry, with initiatives like the "Robot+" application action plan promoting automation solutions [2] - The demand for automation solutions is increasing due to higher requirements for quality consistency and flexible manufacturing in the context of industrial upgrades [2] Rise of Domestic Robot Manufacturers - The success of domestic robot manufacturers is attributed to breakthroughs in core component technologies and a deep understanding of the local market [3] - Leading companies are enhancing their service strategies and responsiveness to customer needs, providing personalized technical support [3] - Acquisitions by top firms, such as Estun's purchase of UK-based TRIO and Germany's CLOOS, are strengthening their capabilities in high-end motion control and welding robots [3] Diverse Downstream Demand - The automotive sector remains a traditional market for industrial robots, driving demand for welding, handling, and painting processes [4] - The lithium battery manufacturing sector is increasingly utilizing robots for various tasks, including handling, assembly, and coating [4] - The electronics industry is also a significant area for robot applications, with rising automation needs in the 3C industry, particularly in chip and display manufacturing [4] AI Integration in Manufacturing - The integration of AI with components like vision systems and motion control algorithms is enhancing the spatial awareness and efficiency of industrial robots [5] - Generative AI is aiding in robot programming, making operations more flexible [5] - Competition in the industrial robot sector is shifting from individual device performance to overall cost-effectiveness of integrated hardware and software solutions [5] Performance Disparities in the Robot Sector - Leading companies are improving performance through technological advancements and cost control, while smaller firms face operational pressures [6] - Price competition in the existing market is impacting profitability for some manufacturers, leading to selective order management [6] - Companies with high technical barriers in the components sector are benefiting from increased market share due to domestic substitution [6] Investment Recommendations - The competitiveness of the Chinese industrial robot industry is improving through differentiated strategies and continuous innovation, with a focus on leading companies like Huichuan Technology and Estun, as well as component firms like Greentech Harmonic [7]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Manufacturing and Industrial Automation in China - **Key Indicators**: Manufacturing Fixed Asset Investment (FAI) and production metrics for various sectors Core Insights 1. **Manufacturing FAI Decline**: Manufacturing FAI decreased by **-2.0% year-on-year (yoy)** in August, a significant drop from **-0.2% yoy** in July, primarily due to declines in electronics and basic materials FAI [3][51] 2. **Chemical and Steel FAI**: Chemical FAI was reported at **-5.2% yoy** and steel FAI at **-4.1% yoy**, negatively impacting companies like Supcon and Baosight [3][24][26] 3. **Industrial Robot and Machine Tool Production**: Industrial robot production increased by **14% yoy** but remained flat month-on-month (mom). Machine tool production rose by **16% yoy**, also flat mom, indicating a stable production environment [3][40] 4. **Export Trends**: Key equipment exports remained stable, with PIMM export value and volume increasing by **24% yoy** and **34% yoy**, respectively. Machine tools saw a value increase of **19% yoy** but a volume decrease of **20% yoy** [4][29][34] 5. **Order Trends for Coverage Companies**: Orders for coverage companies were broadly steady in August, with notable growth in Inovance's IA orders at **+20-30% yoy**. However, Yiheda's orders were impacted by a **-12% yoy** decline in the automotive sector [4][20][11] Additional Important Insights 1. **Capex Financing Weakness**: Capex financing showed a **-12% yoy** decline in August, following a drastic **-96% yoy** drop in July, indicating a tightening investment environment [64] 2. **Profitability Metrics**: The profit before tax (PBT) margin for industrial enterprises with revenue over **Rmb20 million** was **5.5%** in Q2 2025, slightly down from **5.6%** in Q1 2025 [71] 3. **Electricity and Cement Production**: Electricity generation increased by **3.2% yoy** in August, while cement production saw a decline of **-6.2% yoy** [81][88] 4. **Consumer Market Trends**: Passenger vehicle retail sales and production increased by **5%** and **11% yoy**, respectively, indicating a recovery in the automotive sector [90] 5. **NEV and Renewables**: Electric vehicle (EV) sales and production surged by **27% yoy** in August, reflecting strong demand in the new energy vehicle market [107] Conclusion The manufacturing sector in China is experiencing a mixed environment with declining FAI, stable production metrics, and selective strength in orders. The overall economic backdrop remains challenging, with significant declines in capex financing and profitability metrics, while certain sectors like EVs show robust growth.

Summary of Estun Automation Co. (002747.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Estun Automation Co. (002747.SZ) - **Industry**: Industrial Robotics and Automation - **Current Rating**: Downgraded from Neutral to Sell - **12-Month Target Price**: Rmb9.90, implying a 57% downside potential from the current price of Rmb24.21 [1][25] Key Points Financial Performance and Forecasts - **YTD Performance**: Stock has rebounded +16% in 2025 YTD, outperforming both the average return of the China Industrial Tech sector (+13%) and the CSI300 index (+6%) [1][19] - **Revenue Forecasts**: - 2025E Revenue: Rmb4,710.6 million - 2026E Revenue: Rmb5,442.6 million - 2027E Revenue: Rmb6,224.2 million [3][11] - **EPS Forecasts**: - 2025E EPS: Rmb0.08 - 2026E EPS: Rmb0.28 - 2027E EPS: Rmb0.35 [3][11] - **EBITDA**: Expected to improve from a loss of Rmb27.2 million in 2024 to Rmb387.3 million in 2025E [3][11] Market Position and Competitive Landscape - **Market Share**: Estun is the No.1 industrial robot maker in the domestic market, achieving an 11% market share YTD [7][22] - **Competition**: The humanoid robot market is becoming increasingly competitive, with Estun facing challenges from numerous competitors despite its early-stage R&D in humanoid robots [14][23] End-Market Exposure - **High Exposure**: Estun has a 38% exposure to unfavorable end-markets, specifically solar (13%) and auto (25%) sectors, compared to an average of 14% for its peers [7][15] - **Capex Trends**: Expected capex growth in solar is projected to decline by -72% in 2025E and -5% in 2026E, while auto capex is expected to turn negative at -16% in 2026E [7][25] Margin and Profitability Concerns - **Stagnant Margins**: Despite gaining market share, Estun's margins have shown limited improvement due to persistent pricing competition [13][34] - **Earnings Track Record**: The company has an inconsistent earnings track record, which raises concerns about its ability to sustain profitability [34] Risks and Upside Potential - **Downside Risks**: - High exposure to unfavorable end-markets - Stagnant margins despite market share gains - Uncertain outlook for humanoid robot business - Inconsistent earnings performance [34][35] - **Upside Risks**: - Faster-than-expected market share gains - Shift towards favorable end-markets - Improved margin trends - Accelerated humanoid robot development [27][28][31] Conclusion - **Investment Thesis**: Estun Automation Co. is positioned as a leader in the domestic industrial robot market but faces significant challenges due to high exposure to unfavorable end-markets, stagnant margins, and intense competition in the humanoid robot sector. The current valuation appears demanding given the substantial downside potential, leading to a Sell rating [34][35]

Summary of China Industrial Robot & Automation Landscape (2Q25) Industry Overview - The total industrial automation (IA) market experienced a decline of -2% year-over-year (yoy) in 2Q25, with project and OEM markets declining by -3% and remaining flat at 0% respectively. Expectations for 3Q and 4Q25 are -1% and -2% yoy, with the full year projected to remain soft at -1% yoy [4][26][27]. Key Market Insights - Total industrial robot (IR) unit sales reached 86,000 in 2Q25, marking a significant increase of +20% yoy and +12% quarter-over-quarter (qoq). This performance improved compared to 1Q25, which saw +12% yoy and -1% qoq growth [4][26]. - Domestic brands captured 54% of the total IR market share, an increase of +4 percentage points (pp) both qoq and yoy. Domestic sales volume surged by +30% yoy and +20% qoq, significantly outpacing overseas brands, which grew by +10% yoy and +3% qoq [4][26][39]. Company Performance - **ESTUN** maintained its position as the market leader in industrial robots with an 11% market share, reflecting a +44% yoy and +15% qoq sales volume growth [4][39]. - **Inovance**, ranked 4th overall with a 7% market share, experienced flat sales volume yoy and a -6% qoq decline, although it gained market share in 6-axis robots [4][39]. - In the small 6-axis robot segment, ESTUN ranked 2nd with a 10% market share, while Inovance gained to 4th place with a 7% share, showing a remarkable +105% yoy sales volume increase [4][40]. Segment Performance - The strongest growth in robot types was seen in Cobots (+52% yoy), Large 6-axis (+21% yoy), and Small 6-axis (+18% yoy). SCARA robots grew by +10% yoy, while Delta robots showed modest growth of +4% yoy [4][26][35]. - By end-market, sectors such as Electronics, Auto parts, and Lithium battery showed strong double-digit yoy growth, while the Solar sector underperformed significantly with a -24% yoy decline [4][35]. Component Market Insights - Inovance maintained its 1 ranking in Servo with a stable 34% market share and increased its share in Low Voltage Inverter to 25% (+3pp yoy) [4][26]. - Inovance also broke into the top 5 for Large PLCs, securing the 4th position as the sole domestic player with a 6% market share [4][26]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape indicates that domestic players are gaining ground against international competitors, with notable market share shifts observed in various segments [4][39]. - The overall market share for domestic brands in industrial robots increased to 54%, while overseas brands saw a decline to 46% [4][39]. Conclusion - The China industrial robot and automation market is witnessing a significant shift towards domestic brands, driven by strong sales growth and market share gains. The overall market remains under pressure, but certain segments and companies are performing exceptionally well, indicating potential investment opportunities in the domestic industrial automation sector [4][26][39].