头图来源|《别扭合租房》 一个艺考生考上影视圈top3院校（北京电影学院、中央戏剧学院和上海戏剧学院）需要多少钱？ 答案是：至少10万。 然而，如果从投资的角度来看，这笔钱大概率会"打水漂"。表演系学生如今面临的行业现状是：传统影视行业逐渐凋敝，并且在大部分从业人员看来，这 种衰落在未来很长一段时间里仍将持续。 而另一边，短剧市场热钱涌现。综合不同调研机构预测，2025年微短剧市场规模将超过600亿，对应同比增速约30%，到2027~2028年有可能突破千亿。 于是，一些演不到长剧的科班生们开始扎堆短剧。短剧也正在成为科班生们实现梦想的唯一渠道。 01 科班生在短剧扎堆了 北京电影学院导演系主任王瑞教授在接受智通财经专访时提到一件事：2024年，北电的一个小孩被聘到了短视频公司，等他跑到系里来聊这件事的时 候，"大家还挺鄙夷的"。 但不到一年的时间，情况发生了变化，一位中戏导演系博士在社交平台上说道：几乎所有的影视行业的从业人员现在都会被问到一个问题：为什么不去做 短剧？ 态度变化的背后，除了"短剧风口论"外，更本质的原因在于影视行业整体的生态发生了巨大变化：据媒体统计，去年一年，广电总局发证的电视剧为115 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid rise of short dramas in China's entertainment industry, highlighting their financial success and contrasting them with traditional long dramas and films, which are currently underperforming in terms of viewership and revenue [2][3][4][8]. Group 1: Short Drama Industry Overview - The short drama market in China surpassed the film market in size last year and is expected to exceed the television drama market by the end of this year [9][10]. - In July 2023, a short drama titled "念念有词" achieved over 1 billion views in just 5 days, with projected revenue between 80 million to 100 million yuan [7][12]. - The short drama market size reached 370 billion yuan in 2023, with a user base exceeding 500 million [12]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Growth - The market size for micro-short dramas is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 373.9 billion yuan in 2023, 515 billion yuan in 2024, and 634.3 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting growth rates of 267.65%, 35.1%, and 23.2% respectively [13]. - The return on investment (ROI) for top short drama productions can exceed 10 times, while long dramas typically have a much lower ROI, around 2 times [27][28]. Group 3: Production and Cost Efficiency - The production cost for a standard short drama is approximately 500,000 yuan, significantly lower than that of long dramas, which can cost tens of millions [27]. - Short dramas can be produced in a fraction of the time compared to long dramas, with some productions completed in as little as 6 weeks [23]. Group 4: Industry Dynamics and Challenges - Despite the financial success, there are instances of losses within the short drama industry, indicating that profitability is not guaranteed [39][42]. - Traditional actors and directors are increasingly participating in short dramas, but they face challenges due to the fast-paced and high-demand nature of short drama production [46][56]. Group 5: Audience Engagement and Content Consumption - The shift towards short dramas is partly driven by changing audience consumption patterns, where viewers prefer quick, engaging content that fits into their fragmented schedules [85][87]. - The repetitive nature of short dramas does not deter audience engagement, as viewers often seek entertainment without the need for deep cognitive processing [87][88].