As events are leaning toward David Ellison and Paramount prevailing in its $108 billion hostile-takeover bid for Warner Bros Discovery, almost a dozen Republican state attorneys general are insisting that the federal government heavily scrutinize Netflix‘s bid for the iconic studio. “We, the undersigned Attorneys General, write to express our concerns that the proposed merger between Netflix and Warner Brothers will likely result in undue market concentration that stifles competition and therefore creates ...

Fox Business Alert. The shot clock is on and so is the pressure on Paramount Sky Dance, which now has six days left to make its best and final offer to buy Warner Brothers Discovery. Right now, Peace Sky current offer stands at $30 per share, all cash, with a few sweeteners that have been thrown in recently.The 7-day shot clock was made public yesterday and was actually granted by Netflix, which already has a deal accepted by Warner Brothers Discovery to merge, but it allows Warner to weigh what could end u ...

Group 1 - Paramount has made multiple hostile takeover offers for Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD), with the latest offer at $30 per share in cash, raising questions about why the bid has not been increased [1][6] - WBD has entered negotiations with the David Ellison company, which has verbally agreed to raise its bid to $31 or higher if discussions proceed [2][3] - WBD's board has communicated that the $31 offer is not the best and final proposal from PSKY, indicating potential for further negotiations [3] Group 2 - Netflix has provided WBD a waiver to engage with PSKY until February 23, allowing discussions to clarify the proposal, which is expected to exceed $31 per share [4][7] - WBD remains committed to its merger agreement with Netflix, which is valued at $27.75 per share in cash, and has scheduled a special shareholder meeting for March 20, 2026, to vote on this merger [5] - The Netflix deal includes Warner Bros. Studios and streaming assets, while linear television under Discovery Global will be spun off into a separate public company [5]

Core Viewpoint - Confidence is increasing within Paramount Skydance that Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) will terminate its deal with Netflix soon, potentially reopening a bidding war for the company [1] Group 1: WBD's Deal with Netflix - WBD is under significant pressure to consider Paramount Skydance's enhanced offer, which includes a breakup fee to exit the Netflix deal [2] - Investors are concerned that the nearly finalized $72 billion deal with Netflix faces substantial regulatory challenges and question its valuation [3] - There are indications that WBD may be leaking information about a new bidding process to protect itself from litigation while potentially reverting to the Netflix offer [5] Group 2: Regulatory and Valuation Concerns - The regulatory landscape poses a significant hurdle for the Netflix deal, with any Department of Justice antitrust review expected to take at least six months [6] - The valuation of WBD's cable operation spin-off is under scrutiny, with investors doubting it will achieve the promised $3 per share, leading to concerns about the overall valuation of the Netflix deal [9][10] - The potential for Netflix to gain significant pricing power by controlling major streaming services raises alarms among regulators, complicating the deal further [11]

Core Viewpoint - Paramount Skydance is actively seeking activist investors to challenge Warner Bros. Discovery's (WBD) sale of its studio and streaming service to Netflix, arguing that its offer of $30 per share is superior to Netflix's $27.75 bid [1][2][5]. Group 1: Activist Investor Involvement - Ancora Holdings has acquired a $200 million stake in WBD, aiming to persuade the board to reconsider the Netflix deal [2]. - Ancora believes the Netflix-WBD deal presents inferior value and significant regulatory risks compared to the Paramount offer [5]. - A major activist investor has received multiple inquiries from bankers to take a stake and vote against the Netflix deal, but has opted not to participate due to the challenges of activist campaigns in media companies [7]. Group 2: Shareholder Dynamics - The timing of WBD's shareholder vote complicates efforts to elect new directors who could oppose the sale to Netflix [8]. - Shareholders have tendered only a small fraction of the 2.6 billion shares outstanding for the Paramount offer, indicating a need for more persuasive arguments [9]. - Pentwater Capital Management, a significant WBD investor, has joined Paramount Skydance's efforts, potentially influencing the outcome of the bid [12]. Group 3: Regulatory Considerations - The Department of Justice's antitrust review of the Netflix deal raises concerns about potential monopolistic practices, which could impact the approval process [13]. - Paramount Skydance has sweetened its offer to include a $2.8 billion breakup fee if the Netflix deal is rejected, enhancing its position [13]. - There is speculation that if Paramount increases its bid to around $33 per share, it could force WBD to reopen the bidding process [17].

Core Viewpoint - Paramount's CEO David Ellison is making a renewed attempt to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) after previous offers were rejected, maintaining the bid at $30 per share while introducing new terms to enhance the offer's attractiveness to WBD shareholders [1][2]. Offer Details - Paramount's adjusted offer remains at $30 per share, but includes a "ticking fee" of $0.25 per share, amounting to approximately $650 million, payable to WBD shareholders for each quarter the deal remains unclosed until January 2027 [9]. - The total equity backing for the offer is $43.6 billion, fully supported by the Ellison family, with Larry Ellison being a significant financial figure due to his co-founding of Oracle [2]. Competitive Landscape - WBD is currently in negotiations to sell its streaming and studio assets to Netflix for $27.75 per share, which does not include its cable channels [2]. - Netflix has positioned itself as a favorable option for WBD shareholders, claiming that a merger would "create and protect jobs," and has been actively engaging in discussions regarding the regulatory process [8]. Regulatory Considerations - Ellison's offer aims to demonstrate confidence in the regulatory approval process, with the expectation that the deal will close smoothly [6]. - Former President Trump has stated he will not involve himself in the regulatory decisions regarding the Netflix-WBD deal, leaving it to the Department of Justice [7]. Market Reactions - There is speculation of a potential bidding war between Paramount and Netflix, which could increase the acquisition cost of WBD by $5 billion to $10 billion, although such a bidding war has not yet materialized [11]. - Ellison has argued that Paramount's bid is superior to Netflix's, despite not increasing the overall purchase price since the Netflix deal was announced [9][10].

Core Insights - Disney's streaming business achieved record profits in Q4 2025, with Disney+ and Hulu generating $450 million in operating income, a 72% increase year-over-year and significantly higher than the previous quarter's $352 million [1] Revenue Growth - The primary driver of Disney's revenue increase was higher subscription fees, which grew by 13%. Streaming revenue from other sources, including advertising, increased by 4% [2] - Price hikes for Disney+ and Hulu have been implemented annually for the past five years, with recent increases in October. The ad-supported versions of both services rose by $2 to $11.99 per month, while the ad-free version of Disney+ increased to $18.99, aligning with the cost of ad-free Hulu [2] Experiences Division - Disney's experiences division also reported record profits last quarter, attributed to price increases in its parks for the fourth consecutive year [3] Viewership and Engagement - Despite subscriber growth and price hikes, viewership growth for Disney's streaming services has not kept pace, with Nielsen data indicating minimal growth in viewership share over the past four years [3] - The company is exploring various strategies to enhance engagement on its streaming platforms, including AI-generated content, short-form video, and a new homepage set to launch this fall [4]

Core Viewpoint - Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) is under scrutiny as Paramount seeks to acquire the company while Netflix has made an all-cash bid of $82.7 billion for Warner Bros. film and TV studios, HBO Max, and HBO, with stockholders set to vote by April 2026 [2] Group 1: Acquisition Details - Netflix's acquisition bid for Warner Bros. includes HBO and HBO Max, which are significant players in the streaming market, and WB's extensive content catalog [5] - Paramount has made a hostile all-cash bid of $30 per share, totaling $108.4 billion for WBD, which is set to expire on February 20 unless extended [4] Group 2: Regulatory Scrutiny - The Department of Justice (DOJ) is reviewing the merger to determine if it would reduce competition in the market, given Netflix's position as the leading streaming service [5][10] - Both Netflix and Paramount are being closely examined by the government, with Congress also involved in discussions regarding the implications of these acquisitions [11][12] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Netflix argues that the merger would enhance competition by providing more choices for consumers and opportunities for creators, while also benefiting stockholders [6][9] - Netflix co-CEO Ted Sarandos emphasized the competitive environment, noting that various platforms are vying for consumer attention, which includes streaming, broadcast, and social media [8] Group 4: Congressional Influence - A Senate hearing is scheduled where Netflix and WBD executives will testify about the deal, although Congress does not have the power to approve or block mergers directly [13][14] - Congressional hearings can influence the merger process through public concern and pressure, particularly from industry stakeholders [14] Group 5: Potential Outcomes - If the DOJ blocks the merger, the companies can appeal the decision, which could prolong the acquisition process significantly [15][16] - The outcome of the DOJ's review will determine the future of the Netflix-WBD deal and its implications for the broader media landscape [10][16]

Core Insights - Netflix narrowly exceeded Wall Street's revenue estimates for the holiday quarter, reporting revenue of $12.1 billion, surpassing forecasts of $11.97 billion [2][6] - The company forecasts annual revenue for 2026 to be between $50.7 billion and $51.7 billion, with expectations for ad revenue to roughly double [10] - Netflix's subscriber base has surpassed 325 million globally, with a notable increase in monthly viewership by 10% in December, attributed to the final season of "Stranger Things" [3][10] Financial Performance - Adjusted per-share earnings for the fourth quarter were reported at 56 cents, slightly above estimates of 55 cents per share [8] - The company has secured commitments for a $59 billion bridge loan to support its acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, increasing the commitment by $8.2 billion for an all-cash offer of $27.75 per share [4][8] Strategic Moves - Netflix is pursuing a $82.7 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery's studio and other entertainment assets to enhance its content library and fend off competition [4][7] - The amended merger agreement aims to expedite the timeline for a stockholder vote and provide greater financial certainty [5]

Core Viewpoint - Netflix has revised its offer to acquire Warner Bros. and HBO to an all-cash bid of $27.75 per share, countering Paramount's higher bid of $30 per share, in an effort to address criticisms from Paramount and simplify the transaction structure [1][2][4]. Group 1: Offer Details - Netflix's new proposal is valued at $72 billion, with the cash offer aimed at providing greater certainty for Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) stockholders [1][2]. - The revised offer neutralizes Paramount's criticism regarding the stock component of Netflix's previous bid, which was perceived as inferior [5]. - Netflix's offer does not include Warner Bros.' basic cable channels, which are set to be spun off into a separate entity [3]. Group 2: Market Context - Netflix's stock has decreased by 29% since the pursuit of Warner Bros. began, which has impacted the perceived value of its initial proposal [5]. - Paramount's shares have also seen a similar decline of approximately 29% during the same period [5]. Group 3: Board and Shareholder Actions - The Warner Bros. Discovery board continues to support Netflix's proposal, which is valued at $82.7 billion including some debt, despite ongoing interest from Paramount [6]. - A shareholder meeting is expected to be scheduled, with a vote potentially taking place in April [7]. - If the Netflix deal is approved, Warner shareholders will also receive stock in the new company, Discovery Global, which will include Warner's cable channels [8].