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GoodRx(GDRX) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-05 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, total revenue was $196 million, an increase of approximately $1 million compared to the prior year [20] - Prescription transaction revenue decreased by 9% year-over-year, primarily due to the impact of Rite Aid store closures and lower transaction volume in the integrated savings program [21] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $66.3 million, reflecting a 2% increase year-over-year and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 33.8%, which is an improvement of 50 basis points compared to the prior year [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Manufacturer solutions revenue grew by 54% year-over-year to $43.4 million, driven by strong execution and expansion across new and existing brand partnerships [21][11] - The company has over 200 brand affordability programs on its platform, with nearly 80 offering cash prices [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The ongoing changes in the U.S. healthcare environment, particularly around prescription drug pricing, are seen as a significant opportunity for GoodRx, especially with the introduction of Trump Rx and the focus on price transparency [6][9] - The company is positioned to benefit from the anticipated increase in uninsured individuals and higher out-of-pocket costs due to changes in the Affordable Care Act marketplace subsidies and Medicaid support [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - GoodRx is focused on expanding partnerships with pharmaceutical manufacturers and retail pharmacies to enhance access and affordability for consumers [19] - The company is investing in its manufacturer solutions capabilities and aims to deliver a true end-to-end e-commerce model to the pharmaceutical industry [14] - The new brand campaign, "The Savings Wrangler," aims to reinforce GoodRx's position as a trusted name in prescription savings and has already shown positive results in key marketing metrics [18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the broader healthcare environment's challenges but remains confident in GoodRx's ability to navigate these changes and capitalize on emerging opportunities [10][25] - The company expects continued growth in its manufacturer solutions segment, projecting approximately 35% revenue growth in 2025 [24] - Management is optimistic about the long-term growth potential as the market shifts towards greater price transparency and consumer-direct models [9][26] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately 13.4 million shares at an average price of $4.61 per share, totaling $61.6 million, with about $81.4 million remaining under its share repurchase program [22] - GoodRx is actively engaged with the administration and HHS to inform policy efforts that expand access and affordability for all Americans [6] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the stabilizing PTR environment and its implications for GoodRx? - Management noted that 2025 has been challenging due to various macro conditions but anticipates a return to growth in 2026 as more people may become uninsured, creating a tailwind for GoodRx [30][31] Question: How does GoodRx differentiate itself in the manufacturer solutions space? - GoodRx highlighted its position as the number one digital prescription marketplace, providing manufacturers with significant ROI and access to a large consumer base [33] Question: What are the implications of PBMs moving towards point-of-sale discounts? - Management expressed support for this shift, indicating that it aligns with GoodRx's mission of enhancing affordability for consumers at the pharmacy counter [36][37] Question: How will GoodRx integrate with Trump Rx? - GoodRx is actively working with HHS to integrate its pricing into the Trump Rx platform, positioning itself as a key provider of pricing information [39][41] Question: What is the outlook for the ISP relationship and potential new products? - Management indicated that while the ISP relationship has evolved, there remains potential for new product offerings that could enhance affordability for consumers [43][44]
Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About GoodRx (GDRX) Q3 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-11-05 01:31
Core Insights - GoodRx Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $196.03 million for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 0.4% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same period was $0.08, unchanged from the previous year, but below the consensus estimate of $0.09, resulting in an EPS surprise of -11.11% [1] - The reported revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $193.43 million, indicating a positive surprise of +1.34% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Monthly Active Consumers stood at 5, matching the average estimate from three analysts [4] - Subscription plans reached 671, slightly above the average estimate of 662 from two analysts [4] - Revenue from prescription transactions was $127.29 million, below the average estimate of $131.26 million, representing a year-over-year decline of -9.3% [4] - Revenue from other sources was $4.64 million, slightly above the estimated $4.5 million, but down -14% compared to the previous year [4] - Revenue from pharmaceutical manufacturer solutions was $43.37 million, exceeding the average estimate of $37.06 million, marking a significant year-over-year increase of +54.4% [4] - Subscription revenue was reported at $20.72 million, slightly above the estimate of $20.26 million, but down -2.7% year-over-year [4] Stock Performance - GoodRx shares have declined by -27.7% over the past month, contrasting with a +2.1% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Should You Buy GoodRx Stock?
Forbes· 2025-11-04 14:55
Core Insights - GoodRx (GDRX) stock is considered a viable investment due to its expansion, cash generation, and notable valuation discount [1] Financial Performance - GoodRx has a free cash flow yield of 10.0%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities [8] - Revenue growth over the last 12 months is 3.2%, suggesting potential for increased cash reserves [8] Valuation Metrics - GDRX stock is currently priced at 35% below its 3-month high, 46% under its 1-year high, and 63% lower than its 2-year high, highlighting a significant valuation discount [8] Market Trends - The stock has experienced substantial declines, including a 41% drop during the Covid pandemic and a nearly 93% decline during the inflation crisis, indicating vulnerability to market fluctuations [6] - Despite favorable aspects, the stock can still face considerable declines during market shifts [6] Investment Strategy - The average forward returns for GDRX over 6-month and 12-month periods are 25.7% and 57.9% respectively, with a win rate exceeding 70% for both intervals [9]
Cigna's Evernorth to Scrap Drug Rebate Model for Upfront Discounts
WSJ· 2025-10-27 11:37
Core Viewpoint - Cigna Group is introducing a new rebate-free pharmacy benefit model aimed at reducing drug costs directly at the point of sale [1] Group 1 - The new model is designed to eliminate rebates, which are often used in traditional pharmacy benefit structures [1] - This initiative is expected to provide more transparency in drug pricing and potentially lower out-of-pocket costs for consumers [1] - Cigna's approach may influence the broader healthcare industry by encouraging other companies to adopt similar models [1]
Cigna’s Express Scripts to transition away from rebate drug model
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-27 10:39
This story was originally published on Healthcare Dive. To receive daily news and insights, subscribe to our free daily Healthcare Dive newsletter. Dive Brief: One of the largest pharmacy benefits managers in the U.S. is overhauling how millions of its commercial members pay for drugs, in a move that should save consumers money at the pharmacy counter while insulating it from regulatory reform — all without affecting long-term profits. On Monday, Evernorth — Cigna’s health services division that inclu ...
Wall Street Has a Mixed Opinion on GoodRx Holdings (GDRX)
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-30 18:49
Core Viewpoint - GoodRx Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:GDRX) has received mixed opinions from Wall Street following its fiscal second quarter results, indicating uncertainty about its investment potential [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of $203.07 million for the fiscal second quarter, reflecting a slight year-over-year increase of 1.23%, but falling short of consensus estimates by $2.64 million [1]. - Earnings per share (EPS) were reported at $0.04, aligning with expectations [1]. - Prescription transaction revenue decreased by 3% to $143.1 million, attributed to a 14% decline in Monthly Active Consumers due to changes in retail pharmacy [1]. - Subscription revenue also saw a decline of 7% to $20.5 million, linked to a reduction in subscription plans [1]. Analyst Ratings - Following the earnings release, Michael Cherny from Leerink Partners maintained a Buy rating with a price target of $6 [2]. - Steven Valiquette from Mizuho Securities reiterated a Hold rating with a price target of $5 [2]. - Allen Lutz from Bank of America Securities issued a Sell rating with a price target of $3.4 [2]. Market Position - GoodRx operates as a platform aimed at helping consumers save on medication costs, but there are suggestions that certain AI stocks may present greater upside potential with less downside risk [2].
Analyst Favors Cigna, Alignment Healthcare, Cautious On Peers
Benzinga· 2025-09-02 18:00
Investment Overview - Cigna Group's Evernorth Health Services announced a $3.5 billion investment in Shields Health Solutions, a specialty pharmacy management company [1] - The investment coincided with Shields' establishment as a private, stand-alone company following its acquisition by Sycamore Partners, which previously acquired Walgreens Boots Alliance, Shields' former owner [1] Financial Impact - The investment in Shields was made in the form of preferred stock and is not expected to materially impact Cigna's previously issued 2025 adjusted EPS guidance of at least $29.60 [2] - BofA Securities noted that Cigna is a pure-play commercial insurer, maintaining a long-term EPS growth outlook [2] Market Position and Growth - Cigna's large pharmacy benefits and specialty drug businesses provide broad exposure to rising drug spending, including obesity treatments, biosimilars, and gene therapies, without reliance on individual products [3] - Analyst Kevin Fischbeck projects EPS growth of 10%–15% annually, with a 9% free cash flow yield, while avoiding regulatory risks faced by peers, supporting expected returns of 10–15% [3] Stock Performance - Cigna Group's stock was reported to be up 0.22% at $301.65 at the time of publication [6]
UnitedHealth Group Stock Just Hit a 5-Year Low. 5 Things Investors Need to Know.
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-20 08:42
Core Viewpoint - UnitedHealth Group has experienced significant stock decline despite being a leader in the health insurance and pharmacy benefits management sectors, with shares dropping over 50% from late 2024 peak levels [1] Financial Guidance - UnitedHealth Group recently withdrew its 2025 financial guidance, initially projecting net earnings of $24.65 to $25.15 per share and adjusted earnings of $26 to $26.50 per share, reflecting a modest year-over-year decline of around 5% [2][3] - The company cited higher-than-expected medical expenditures, particularly for new Medicare Advantage beneficiaries, as a reason for the weaker outlook, although it anticipates a return to growth in 2026 [3] Leadership Changes - The abrupt departure of CEO Andrew Witty for personal reasons coincided with the announcement of the suspended 2025 outlook [4] - Stephen J. Hemsley has been appointed as the new CEO, effective immediately, while also continuing as chairman of the board [5] Regulatory Scrutiny - The U.S. Department of Justice is reportedly investigating UnitedHealth Group for potential Medicare fraud, following earlier disclosures about the investigation into the company's Medicare billing practices [6] - UnitedHealth Group has denied being notified of any criminal investigation and defended the integrity of its Medicare Advantage program [7] PBM Challenges - UnitedHealth Group's Optum Rx pharmacy benefits management business faces pressure from political initiatives aimed at eliminating PBMs, as stated by President Trump [9] - In Q1 2025, Optum Rx generated over $13.9 billion in revenue, accounting for nearly 13% of UnitedHealth Group's total revenue, and contributed $1.3 billion in earnings before income taxes, representing 16% of the company's total [9] Market Sentiment - Despite recent challenges, Wall Street analysts remain largely bullish on UnitedHealth Group, with 22 out of 27 analysts rating the stock as a "buy" or "strong buy" [10][11] - The average 12-month price target suggests an upside potential of approximately 47% [11] - Concerns about leadership changes and regulatory investigations are viewed as manageable, with the stock trading at 11.5 times forward earnings, indicating a potential buying opportunity for aggressive investors [12][13]