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Core Viewpoint - Tredegar Corporation's stock has significantly underperformed the market following disappointing earnings results for Q2 2025, with a notable decline in net income and EBITDA despite an increase in total sales [1][2]. Financial Performance - For Q2 2025, Tredegar reported net income from continuing operations of $1.8 million (5 cents per share), down from $9.2 million (27 cents per share) a year earlier [1][2]. - Total sales increased by 16.4% year over year to $179.1 million, primarily driven by higher revenues in Aluminum Extrusions, but offset by weaker performance in PE Films [2]. - Consolidated EBITDA from ongoing operations fell to $10 million, a decrease of 43.2% from $17.6 million in the previous year [2]. Segment Performance - In Aluminum Extrusions, sales volume rose 16.6% to 40.7 million pounds, with net sales climbing 24.2% to $148.4 million, benefiting from increased shipments in non-residential building and construction [3]. - However, EBITDA from ongoing operations in this segment dropped 28.1% to $9.3 million due to manufacturing inefficiencies and higher labor costs [3]. - PE Films experienced a 7.1% decline in sales volume to 9.8 million pounds and a 15.8% revenue drop to $24.6 million, with EBITDA decreasing 33.8% to $6.7 million [3]. Management Insights - CEO John Steitz highlighted that while sales volume in Aluminum Extrusions improved, profitability was impacted by manufacturing inefficiencies, which are believed to be resolved [4]. - A slowdown in new orders was noted following the increase in Section 232 tariffs on aluminum extrusions, as customers paused purchases [4]. - For PE Films, performance was solid but below last year's exceptional levels, with the business avoiding tariff-related demand impacts so far [4]. Influencing Factors - The earnings decline was attributed to segment-specific challenges, including unfavorable manufacturing costs and lower labor productivity in Aluminum Extrusions [5]. - In PE Films, a pullback from last year's extraordinary demand in Surface Protection significantly impacted results, although cost improvements provided some cushion [5]. - Corporate expenses increased due to higher professional fees and incentive compensation [5]. Future Guidance - The company projected capital expenditures of $17 million for Aluminum Extrusions and $2 million for PE Films in 2025, focusing on productivity and operational continuity [6]. - Management anticipates a moderation in PE Films' performance in the second half of 2025, with ongoing tariff impacts and demand uncertainty affecting Aluminum Extrusions' order flow [6]. Balance Sheet and Developments - As of June 30, 2025, Tredegar's balance sheet showed total debt of $62.6 million and cash of $9.8 million, with net debt slightly improved from year-end 2024 [7]. - The company completed a five-year, $125 million asset-based lending facility earlier in the year, with approximately $51 million available for borrowing at quarter-end [7]. - Tredegar received $9.8 million from the post-closing settlement of the Terphane divestiture during the first quarter [7].

Core Viewpoint - Avient (AVNT) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ending March 2025, with the actual results being crucial for its near-term stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on May 6, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.75 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 1.3%. Revenues are projected to be $833.46 million, which is a 0.5% increase from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 4.33% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4][10]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Avient is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.42%, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [10][11]. - A positive Earnings ESP is generally a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a favorable Zacks Rank, but Avient currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict a positive outcome [8][11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Avient was expected to post earnings of $0.48 per share but exceeded expectations with actual earnings of $0.49, resulting in a surprise of +2.08%. Over the last four quarters, the company has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [12][13]. Conclusion - While Avient does not appear to be a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, it is essential for investors to consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [16].