24 June 2025 | 8:36PM HKT China Retail Addressing investor questions on blind box regulation Michelle Cheng +852-2978-6631 | michelle.cheng@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Xinyu Ruan +852-2978-7347 | xinyu.ruan@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Carol Chen +852-2978-7999 | carol.chen@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Molly Dai Share prices for diversified retailer names in our coverage, Pop Mart/Bloks/Miniso/Shanghai M&G, declined by 5% on Jun 20 on average vs. CSI 300/HSI +0%/+1%, following People's Da ...

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for Build-A-Bear (BBW) driven by higher revenues, with the actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is expected on May 29, 2025, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.86, reflecting a +4.9% change year-over-year, and revenues projected at $117.95 million, up 2.8% from the previous year [3][2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.61% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model shows a positive Earnings ESP of +0.97% for Build-A-Bear, suggesting a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [10][11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Build-A-Bear exceeded the expected EPS of $1.52 by delivering $1.59, resulting in a surprise of +4.61%. Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [12][13]. Conclusion - Build-A-Bear is positioned as a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, but investors should consider other influencing factors before making investment decisions [16].

Company Overview - Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc. (NYSE: BBW) is a specialty retail store primarily focused on selling children's plush toys [1] - The company differentiates itself by emphasizing in-store customer experience and fostering emotional connections with customers rather than just selling products [1] Investment Strategy - The focus is on identifying strong companies that are undervalued by the stock market, with the belief that corrective forces will realign these "mispriced" stocks to their intrinsic value [1] - Corrective forces may include activist investors' proxy fights, leadership and strategic changes, spin-offs, and industry cyclicality [1] - The objective is to identify these opportunities before they materialize, as stock return overperformance is expected from such investments [1]