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Private Payrolls Rebound in October, Adding 42,000 Jobs, ADP Says
Barronsยท 2025-11-05 14:52
Core Insights - The U.S. private sector added 42,000 jobs in October, surpassing the expected 37,500 jobs, marking a recovery from the 29,000 jobs lost in September [3][6][11] - The job growth is primarily driven by the services sector, particularly trade, transportation, and utilities, which added 47,000 jobs, while education and healthcare contributed an additional 26,000 jobs [6][7] - Despite the positive job additions, the overall employment conditions remain weak, with declines in sectors such as professional business services, information, and leisure and hospitality [8][9] Employment Data - The ADP National Employment Report indicates that private payrolls increased by 42,000 jobs in October, a significant rebound from the previous month [3][6] - Wage growth for employees who remained in the same position increased by 4.5% year-over-year, while those changing jobs saw a 6.7% increase in October [6][10] - The goods-producing sector added approximately 9,000 jobs, led by natural resources and mining, but manufacturing lost 3,000 jobs [9] Sector Performance - The services sector was the main contributor to job growth, with notable gains in trade, transportation, and utilities, marking the strongest performance since February 2023 [7] - The leisure and hospitality sector experienced a concerning decline, shedding 6,000 jobs, which raises questions about consumer health and spending resilience [8] - Large companies (250+ employees) added 76,000 jobs, while small and midsize businesses (less than 250 employees) lost around 35,000 jobs [9] Economic Context - The ADP report has gained importance due to the government shutdown affecting the Bureau of Labor Statistics' ability to release employment data [4][5] - The current labor market data suggests stabilization but lacks significant momentum, which may influence Federal Reserve policymakers to consider interest rate cuts in December [5][7]