Hi, I'm Charles Roberts, uh, chief investment strategist and head of venture at ARC. Uh, backgroundwise, I was a surgeon, then moved into being a biotech entrepreneur, founded several different biotech companies, including mainly at the intersection between AI and genomics. At ARC, uh, primarily I lead venture where we have a broad deep tech portfolio across private and some public companies.I work on both strategic side and day-to-day operational management leadership of the team and working very closely w ...

Obesity Drug Market & Competition - Amgen's once-monthly weight loss shot, Maritide, showed patients without type 2 diabetes losing an average of 20% of their body weight after one year, but with a high rate of side effects and discontinuations [1] - Eli Lilly appears to be leading the obesity drug race with a safe oral candidate and an injectable (amalin) that provides weight loss with less muscle mass loss [2] - Novo Nordisk is facing challenges with disappointing Kaggarma data, while Eli Lilly is presenting positive results [2] - Novo Nordisk currently holds 33% of the market share, but Eli Lilly's oral data looks promising [4] - The market may not be seeking a 25% weight loss if other options offer around 22% [5] Amgen's Valuation & Pharma Sector - Amgen's stock dropped almost 6% after disappointing results for its weight loss shot [1] - Amgen is trading at approximately 12-13 times next year's numbers, which may not be considered cheap given the current pharma multiples and revenue cliffs [7][8] - The average pharma multiple is around 10 [7] - Over 50% of revenue for companies like Merck and Bristol-Myers Squibb will disappear by the end of the decade [8] Biotech & M&A - Biotech has had a decent run, with potential catalysts for M&A activity [9] - Despite potential asset quality concerns, increased M&A activity is expected in the biotech sector due to revenue degradation at the pharma level [11] - Big Pharma companies need to pursue M&A, with Pfizer, having spent $60 billion since the pandemic, actively seeking more assets, potentially in the obesity area [12]

Market Trends - Crude oil: The company is inclined to fade the spike in crude [1] - Biotech: The company sees a buying opportunity in the biotech space, though not a huge breakout [1] - Industrials: The company believes industrials are worth a lot [1] Investment Opportunities - Biotech: The company suggests a buying opportunity in the biotech space [1] - Industrials: The company highlights the value in industrials [1] - Caterpillar: The company suggests taking a look at Caterpillar [1] Specific Companies - Mike Co: The company acknowledges a fluid situation [1] - Uber: The company mentions Uber court [1] - Caterpillar: The company suggests taking a look at Caterpillar [1]

Crispr Technology & Applications - Crispr 基因编辑技术能够对患者的 DNA 进行精确编辑，从而识别新的治疗靶点并纠正某些疾病，扩大可治疗疾病的范围 [2] - Crispr 技术与 AI 结合，加速识别靶点和疗法，从而加快新疗法上市的速度 [3] - 癌症，尤其是无法以其他方式治疗的儿童疾病和罕见癌症，可能是 Crispr 技术首先产生影响的领域 [5] Regulatory Landscape - FDA 对新的治疗方法和技术平台持支持态度，并倾向于快速批准 [5] - 美国卫生与公众服务部 (HHS) 部长承诺支持细胞和基因治疗领域，这对行业来说是一个巨大的推动力 [7] - 众议院拨款委员会也表达了对细胞和基因治疗领域的支持，释放了积极信号 [7] Manufacturing & Supply Chain - 该公司主要在美国本土进行生产，对进口尤其是来自中国的依赖程度不高 [9] - 公司在马萨诸塞州进行生产，并在匹兹堡进行扩张 [9] - 匹兹堡的团队致力于支持当地学校的 STEM (科学、技术、工程和数学) 项目 [9]