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博纳影业(001330):电影储备丰富,持续推进品类扩张及“AI+影视”战略
Tai Ping Yang Zheng Quan· 2025-04-30 13:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase of 5% to 15% compared to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [10][16]. Core Views - The company has a rich film reserve and is actively expanding its categories and advancing its "AI + Film" strategy. It is expected that several films will be released in 2025, contributing to revenue growth [10][6]. - The company faced revenue pressure in 2024, with a projected revenue of 1.461 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 9.12%. However, Q1 2025 showed a revenue increase of 19.43% due to the release of "Operation Dragon" during the Spring Festival [4][5]. - The company is diversifying its film types and content formats, with multiple projects in various stages of production, including patriotic themes and crime dramas [6][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company is projected to have a revenue of 1.461 billion yuan, with a net loss of 867 million yuan. For Q1 2025, revenue is expected to be 525 million yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 19.43% [4][5]. - The company’s revenue is forecasted to grow significantly in the coming years, with expected revenues of 2.284 billion yuan in 2025, 3.362 billion yuan in 2026, and 3.538 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 56.3%, 47.2%, and 5.24% respectively [10][12]. Film and Content Strategy - The company has over 20 film projects in reserve, with several entering post-production, including "Operation Dragon" and "Kashmir Princess" [6]. - The company is also making strides in its television series business, achieving a notable average viewership rating of 3.32% for "Shangganling," and is developing various short series in collaboration with platforms like Douyin [7]. AI Integration - The company is advancing its "AI + Film" strategy, having established an AIGMS production center to apply AI technology in film production. The first fully AI-generated sci-fi short series, "Sanxingdui: Future Revelation," has garnered 160 million views [7][10].