中债久期择时组合
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中信建投:全球增长上行,把握权益投资机会
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-03 12:32
Group 1 - The macroeconomic factors indicate an upward trend in global growth and continued growth in the Chinese economy, with domestic financial conditions remaining accommodative [1] - Short-term decline in crude oil supply factors is noted [1] - It is expected that by August 2025, the domestic economy will be in the second phase of the Pring's six-cycle, suggesting a recommendation for stock allocation [1] Group 2 - The latest recommendations for the duration timing of the China bond market in the third quarter emphasize a defensive approach with short duration, while the US bond market suggests maintaining an offensive allocation with long duration [1] - The performance tracking system for A-share listed companies indicates that the second quarter reports for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices exceeded expectations, with the exceeding factors higher than the average of the past five years [1] - There is a focus on selecting stocks that benefit from the endogenous growth of the Chinese economy, particularly those that have shown unexpected performance [1]