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中國平安(02318)短線技術分析:關鍵突破後的走勢研判
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-11 03:16
Core Viewpoint - China Ping An (02318.HK) shows strong market performance with significant buying interest, indicating a potential upward breakout in stock price [1][4]. Technical Analysis - The stock price increased by 4.34% on July 10, closing at HKD 51.65, with a trading volume of HKD 4.181 billion, reflecting active market buying [1]. - As of 10:35 AM, the stock price rose to HKD 53.45, marking a 3.48% increase [1]. - Technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, with the stock successfully breaking above the 10-day (HKD 50.33) and 30-day (HKD 48.34) moving averages, and remaining above the 60-day moving average (HKD 47.12) [1]. - The MACD indicator shows a bullish crossover, and multiple technical indicators are signaling a "strong buy" [1][4]. Support and Resistance Levels - Key support levels are identified at HKD 48.9 (Support 1) and HKD 47.9 (Support 2), with the first resistance level at HKD 53.6 (Resistance 1) and a potential challenge at HKD 55.3 (Resistance 2) [4]. - The RSI indicator is at 57, nearing the overbought zone, but has not yet issued a sell signal, indicating further upward potential with a 54% probability of price increase [4]. Derivative Products - Bullish derivative products such as Morgan Stanley Bull Certificate (53099) and Societe Generale Bull Certificate (68530) have shown strong performance, with two-day gains of 14% and 11% respectively [4][11]. - Recommended call options include UBS Call Option (16750) and Bank of China Call Option (16856), both with a strike price of HKD 60.71 and approximately 9x leverage [7]. - For put options, UBS Put Option (28275) and HSBC Put Option (28259) are attractive, with a strike price of HKD 50.13 and around 7x leverage [7]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to monitor volume changes closely; a sustained breakout above HKD 53.6 could initiate a new upward trend [4]. - The recommended bull certificates have a safety margin with a redemption price set at HKD 44.2, providing about 7x actual leverage, suitable for medium-risk investors [11].