保費收入公告 於2025年1月1日 至2025年7月31日 期 間，中 國 太 平 洋 保 險（集 團）股 份 有 限 公 司（「本公司」）子 公 司 中 國 太 平 洋 人 壽 保 險 股 份 有 限 公 司 累 計 原 保 險 保費收入為人民幣1,859.62億 元，同 比 增 長9.0%，本 公 司 子 公 司 中 國 太 平 洋財產保險股份有限公司累計原保險保費收入為人民幣1,286.28億 元， 同比增長0.8%。 上 述 累 計 原 保 險 保 費 收 入 數 據 未 經 審 計，提 請 投 資 者 注 意。 特 此 公 告。 註： 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內 容 概 不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示，概 不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的 任 何 損 失 承 擔 任 何 責 任。 中國太平洋保險（集團）股份有限公司 CHINA PACIFIC INSURANCE (GROUP) CO., LTD. （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） （股份代號：02601） 中 ...

Core Viewpoint - Ping An Insurance (02318) is experiencing a slight decline in stock price but shows positive developments in its property and casualty insurance claims process and steady growth in life insurance new business sales, which may support its stock price [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of today, Ping An's stock price is at 53.70 HKD, down 0.28%, with a previous close of 53.85 HKD, reflecting a daily decrease of 0.37% and a trading volume of 1.511 billion HKD [1] - The stock is currently in a mid-low price range, with a 55% probability of upward movement, and has shown a 6.7% fluctuation over the past five days, indicating potential for short-term volatility [3] Group 2: Technical Analysis - Multiple technical indicators suggest a "buy" signal with a strength of 10, indicating a positive medium to long-term trend [1] - The first support level is at 51.6 HKD, with a stronger support at 50.3 HKD; the initial resistance level to overcome is at 56.2 HKD, with a subsequent target of 57.4 HKD [3] Group 3: Investment Products - For investors optimistic about Ping An breaking through resistance, options include the Morgan Stanley call warrant (18269) and the Societe Generale call warrant (17282), with leverage of 8x and 7.9x, respectively [5] - For those concerned about short-term adjustments, HSBC put warrant (28259) and UBS put warrant (28275) are viable options, offering leverage of 10x and 9.6x, respectively [6] - Bullish investors may consider Morgan Stanley bull certificate (59144) with a leverage of 7.9x and a recovery price of 46.5 HKD, while bearish investors can look at Societe Generale bear certificate (51885) with a leverage of 7.5x and a recovery price of 60 HKD [7][8]

Report Summary Market Performance - Hong Kong stocks rose. The Hang Seng Index opened 38 points lower, dropped 96 points to 24,806 points in the morning, rebounded 100 points to 25,002 points before noon, and finally closed 8 points higher at 24,910 points. The H - share Index fell 18 points or 0.2% to 8,932 points, and the Hang Seng Tech Index rose 11 points or 0.2% to 5,532 points. The total turnover of the market was HK$215.235 billion [1]. - A - shares had a positive trend. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 16 points or 0.5% to 3,633 points with a turnover of RMB 707.2 billion. The Shenzhen Component Index rose 70 points or 0.6% to 11,177 points with a turnover of RMB 1.03 trillion. The ChiNext Index rose 15 points or 0.7% to 2,358 points with a turnover of RMB 521.8 billion [1]. - In the US stock market, the Nasdaq outperformed. It rose 252 points or 1.2% to 21,169 points. The S&P 500 Index rose 45 points or 0.7% to 6,345 points, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 81 points or 0.2% to 44,193 points [2]. Macroeconomic News - The People's Bank of China conducted RMB 138.5 billion of seven - day reverse repurchase operations on the 6th, with an unchanged operating rate of 1.4%. There were RMB 309 billion of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net withdrawal of RMB 170.5 billion. The central parity rate of the RMB against the US dollar was lowered by 43 pips to 7.1409 [1]. Company Earnings - Manulife Financial (00945.HK) reported its interim results for the six - month period ended June 30. Net income was CAD 2.274 billion, up 19.1% year - on - year and 16% at constant exchange rates. Core earnings were CAD 3.493 billion, up 1.3% year - on - year and down 2% at constant exchange rates. Earnings per share were CAD 1.23. An interim dividend of 44 cents was declared, compared with 40 cents in the same period last year [3]. - BeiGene (06160.HK) announced its Q2 results ended June 30. According to US GAAP, total revenue was USD 1.315 billion, a 42% year - on - year increase. Among them, the global revenue of Brukinsa was USD 950 million, a 49% increase. Benefiting from revenue growth and improved operating leverage, it recorded a net profit of USD 94.32 million, turning around from a loss of USD 120 million in the same period last year. Basic earnings per share were USD 0.07 [3]. Policy News - US President Trump said he might announce further tariffs on China, similar to the 25% tariff imposed on India for buying Russian oil. The specific situation would depend on future developments. Trump also announced plans to implement more secondary sanctions to force Russia to end the war in Ukraine. Last week, US Treasury Secretary Bessent warned China that it might face new tariffs if it continued to buy Russian oil [2]. - Trump said on Wednesday that the US would impose a 100% tariff on imported semiconductors and chips, but companies that moved production back to the US would be exempted [2].

Core Insights - The report highlights a stabilization in the US stock market, with investors taking advantage of lower prices, leading to a recovery in major indices [9][11] - The focus of the market has shifted towards corporate earnings and trade agreements, indicating a potential for future growth [9][11] - The report notes a significant outflow of capital from Hong Kong stocks, with net outflows reaching HKD 18.09 billion, the highest since May 12 [9][11] Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 24,733.45, up 225.64 points or 0.92%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 1.55% [15][17] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 585.06 points or 1.34%, recovering losses from previous weeks [11][15] - Notable stock performances included Tesla and Microsoft, both rising by 2.2%, while Amazon saw a decline of 1.4% [11][15] Economic Data - US factory orders decreased by 4.8% in June, marking the largest drop since 2020, aligning with expectations [11] - The report anticipates upcoming economic data releases, including the Purchasing Managers' Index for Hong Kong and China, and the Producer Price Index for the Eurozone [21] Company Recommendations - The report recommends buying shares of WuXi AppTec (2126), a leader in CAR-T cell therapy in China, with a target price of HKD 6.44 [22] - It also highlights The Southern Company (SO) for its stable cash flow and projected growth in electricity demand, making it a strong investment choice [24] - The Allstate Corporation (ALL) reported a revenue increase of 5.85% to USD 16.633 billion, with earnings per share rising significantly, indicating strong performance [25]

Core Viewpoint - China Life Insurance's stock price has shown significant volatility, currently at 22.65 HKD, down 2.37%, with various technical indicators suggesting potential upward and downward movements in the near term [2]. Technical Analysis - The stock price is currently above the 10-day moving average of 21.93 HKD, indicating a bullish formation, but the RSI at 78 suggests it is severely overbought, creating a technical divergence with sell signals from the Williams indicator [2]. - The MACD maintains a buy signal, but the shortening of the red momentum bars indicates a potential weakening of upward momentum [2]. - The Bollinger Bands are expanding, with the stock price closely following the upper band, reflecting increased short-term volatility risk, evidenced by a 10.4% 5-day amplitude [2]. - A critical support level is identified at 20.9 HKD, which combines the 30-day moving average and a psychological barrier; a breach could lead to a drop to the 18.8 HKD yearly line [2]. - The upper resistance level is at 24 HKD, and a breakthrough could challenge the previous high of 26.3 HKD [2]. - The Ichimoku Cloud shows a bullish arrangement, but the distance from the cloud indicates accumulating technical correction pressure [2]. - Divergence in momentum oscillators and sell signals from the VR ratio indicator suggest short-term adjustment risks [2]. Derivative Products Strategy - The Morley call option 28512 stands out with a leverage of 6.7 times and the lowest premium, with an exercise price set 7% below the current stock price of 20.93 HKD [5]. - The Morgan Stanley call option 29456 offers similar terms with a leverage of 6.5 times and a lower premium as an alternative [5]. - On the bearish side, the Bank of China put option 18645 is preferred for hedging downside risk, featuring a leverage of 5.1 times and the lowest premium [5]. - The Xinda put option 18677 has an exercise price of 18.28 HKD, with a leverage of 3.4 times and is 19.11% out of the money [5].

Core Insights - The report highlights a positive market sentiment following the trade agreement between the US and EU, contributing to new record highs in US stock indices [9][11] - The report notes that while US stock indices are reaching new highs, there are warnings from Goldman Sachs about accumulating short-term risks in the market [11] - The report discusses the ongoing trade negotiations between the US and China, emphasizing the importance of outcomes for market stability [11][14] Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed up by 173 points (0.7%), while the Hang Seng Tech Index recorded three consecutive declines [14] - The report indicates that Hong Kong's exports have increased for 16 consecutive months, with June's export value reaching HKD 417.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.9% [14] - The report mentions that the MSCI China Index's 12-month target has been raised from 85 to 90 points, indicating an 11% upside potential [14] Company Recommendations - The report recommends buying Kowloon Warehouse Holdings (1997) due to its stable cash flow from core assets in Hong Kong [22] - It suggests that AIA Group (1299) is benefiting from increased demand from mainland visitors and local market recovery, with a notable growth in new business value [22] - Prologis, Inc. (PLD) is highlighted as a leading industrial logistics REIT with a market capitalization exceeding USD 100 billion [24] Economic Data - The report outlines key economic data releases, including US wholesale and retail inventory figures for June, and the FHFA House Price Index for May [21] - It notes that the US Treasury Department estimates a debt issuance of USD 1.007 trillion for the third quarter, an increase of USD 453 billion from previous estimates [11]

Group 1: Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis - Investors are divided on the Hang Seng Index (HSI), with bullish investors entering at 24,000 points and bearish investors expecting a drop to the same level, deploying bear certificates with a redemption price of 24,888 [1] - Technical analysis indicates a "buy" signal for the HSI, with the first resistance level at approximately 24,600 points, and a potential upward test towards 25,000 points if this level is breached [1] - Investors are advised to choose bear certificates with redemption prices above the second resistance level of 25,000 to avoid immediate redemption risks, even if it means sacrificing some leverage [1] Group 2: Company-Specific Insights - WuXi Biologics (02269.HK) shows a temporary "buy" signal with 15 buy signals and no sell signals, but there are 9 neutral signals indicating caution; resistance levels are at 28.5 and 29.5 [3] - WuXi AppTec (02359.HK) has a "buy" signal with 14 buy signals and 4 sell signals, indicating potential upward movement with short-term resistance at 98 and 99.6 [6] - Trip.com Group (09961.HK) has a "strong buy" signal after a rebound from 434.2 to 499.8, with resistance levels at 505 and 531 [9] - AIA Group (01299.HK) shows a mixed outlook with 15 buy signals and 3 sell signals; resistance levels are at 71.6 and 73.8, suggesting caution before challenging 75 [11] - JD.com (09618.HK) is experiencing bearish sentiment with a "sell" signal, and investors are advised to wait for a drop to 115 before considering entry [14]

Company Recommendation - BYD Electronics (0285) is recommended for purchase with a target price of HKD 38.50, indicating a potential upside of 16.7% from the current price of HKD 33.95 [2][10] - The catalysts for growth include the lifting of the EDA ban in the US and the completion of the US-Vietnam trade agreement, which is expected to ease concerns regarding upstream supply chain pricing and gross margin pressures [2][10] - The company is diversifying into AI servers, liquid cooling, and Autonomous Mobile Robots (AMR), with a strong partnership with NVIDIA, which is anticipated to drive new growth momentum [2][10] Valuation - The current price corresponds to a forecasted P/E ratio of 13.2x for FY25E and 11.2x for FY26E, with FY26E valuation being 29% lower than the 5-year average [2][10] - The expected revenue and net profit compound annual growth rates for FY24-FY27E are 11.6% and 22.4%, respectively [2][10] Market Review - The Hang Seng Index is facing resistance at 24,700 points, influenced by US-China trade negotiations and limited progress in economic stimulus from mainland China [2][4] - The market is experiencing a slowdown in capital inflow from Northbound trading, with corporate earnings showing limited improvement [2][4] Industry Insights - The automotive sector in China is showing resilience, with a 22.2% year-on-year increase in vehicle exports in June, and production and sales also reflecting positive growth [11] - The construction and real estate sectors are seeing increased land sale revenues, particularly in first and second-tier cities, with a 40% increase in land sale amounts [11] - The gaming industry in Macau is expected to benefit from strong summer season revenues, with June's gaming income exceeding expectations [5]

Core Viewpoint - China Ping An (02318.HK) shows strong market performance with significant buying interest, indicating a potential upward breakout in stock price [1][4]. Technical Analysis - The stock price increased by 4.34% on July 10, closing at HKD 51.65, with a trading volume of HKD 4.181 billion, reflecting active market buying [1]. - As of 10:35 AM, the stock price rose to HKD 53.45, marking a 3.48% increase [1]. - Technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, with the stock successfully breaking above the 10-day (HKD 50.33) and 30-day (HKD 48.34) moving averages, and remaining above the 60-day moving average (HKD 47.12) [1]. - The MACD indicator shows a bullish crossover, and multiple technical indicators are signaling a "strong buy" [1][4]. Support and Resistance Levels - Key support levels are identified at HKD 48.9 (Support 1) and HKD 47.9 (Support 2), with the first resistance level at HKD 53.6 (Resistance 1) and a potential challenge at HKD 55.3 (Resistance 2) [4]. - The RSI indicator is at 57, nearing the overbought zone, but has not yet issued a sell signal, indicating further upward potential with a 54% probability of price increase [4]. Derivative Products - Bullish derivative products such as Morgan Stanley Bull Certificate (53099) and Societe Generale Bull Certificate (68530) have shown strong performance, with two-day gains of 14% and 11% respectively [4][11]. - Recommended call options include UBS Call Option (16750) and Bank of China Call Option (16856), both with a strike price of HKD 60.71 and approximately 9x leverage [7]. - For put options, UBS Put Option (28275) and HSBC Put Option (28259) are attractive, with a strike price of HKD 50.13 and around 7x leverage [7]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to monitor volume changes closely; a sustained breakout above HKD 53.6 could initiate a new upward trend [4]. - The recommended bull certificates have a safety margin with a redemption price set at HKD 44.2, providing about 7x actual leverage, suitable for medium-risk investors [11].

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is facing resistance at 24,700 points, with a projected P/E ratio of 11 times over the next 12 months [2] - The index closed at 23,916 points, down 0.64% year-to-date, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 0.45% [4] - The market is experiencing a slowdown in capital inflow from mainland investors, and corporate earnings improvements are limited [2][5] Macro Focus - The U.S. Federal Reserve maintained interest rates, with expectations of two rate cuts totaling 0.5% this year, reflecting a cautious stance on future inflation uncertainties [3] - OPEC+ has agreed to increase production by 548,000 barrels per day in August, exceeding market expectations, which may limit the upward potential of international oil prices [8] Company News - China Feihe (6186) expects a decline in half-year earnings, projecting net profit between 1 billion to 1.2 billion RMB, with a total dividend of no less than 2 billion RMB for the year [9] - Xiaomi (1810) has officially delivered its first batch of the YU7 SUV, priced between 253,500 to 329,900 RMB, with significant initial order numbers [9] - BYD (1211) reported a 54.4% month-on-month increase in sales of its Tang L model, reaching 12,700 units in June [9] - NIO (9866) announced that its L90 model will be priced below 300,000 RMB, with a product launch event scheduled [9] Industry Insights - The biotechnology sector is expected to benefit from new government measures supporting the high-quality development of innovative drugs [6] - Macau's gaming revenue in June increased by 19% year-on-year, significantly exceeding expectations, indicating a recovery in the gaming industry [6] - The textile industry anticipates improved orders as Nike's performance is expected to stabilize [6] Economic Indicators - China's smartphone shipments fell by 22% year-on-year in May, with 5G phone shipments decreasing by 17% [8] - The average price of international tickets from mainland China has decreased by 15% this summer, with significant drops in prices for flights to Canada and Japan [8]