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波動市中尋機會:友邦五日振幅7.6%的啟示
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-21 11:43
友邦保險股價近日展現反彈力道,上升1.15%,报78.85元,正逐步逼近關鍵阻力區域。從移動平均線布局觀察,目前股價已成功站上MA30的76.21元與 MA60的74.81元,顯示中期趨勢轉強,惟仍受制於MA10的81.26元,形成短線與中線趨勢不一致的有趣現象。技術指標方面,RSI處於55的中立偏強水平, 隨機震盪指標發出買入信號,牛熊力量指標同樣呈現買入訊號,但動量震盪指標卻顯示賣出,這種技術面的分歧究竟該如何解讀? 在關鍵價位分析上,友邦的即時支持位位於75.2元,第二支持位則在72.8元;而上行方面,首要阻力位於82.8元,突破後下一目標將上看84元整數關口。值 得留意的是,股價目前正處於保力加通道中軸附近,顯示目前價位處於相對均衡狀態。根據數據分析,友邦短期上升概率為54%,五日振幅達7.6%,波動性 相對較高,為短線交易者提供了操作空間。 回顧近期衍生產品市場表現,在11月17日提及的看空產品表現相當亮眼。當友邦在兩日內下跌4.12%時,滙豐熊證53010錄得67%的驚人升幅,法興熊證 52361也有65%的回報,顯示在波動加劇的市況中,熊證能夠提供極佳的槓桿效應。這些數據提醒我們,即使面對像友邦 ...
11月20日【港股Podcast】恆指、美團、小米、匯豐、建行、友邦
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-21 11:43
1、恆指:看多投資者搏反彈持有收回價25688的牛證,看淡投資者認為收割25100點的肥牛,持有收回價27000的熊證,也有投資者選擇沒有收回價的認購證 Simon:大家好,歡迎來到今天(20日)的港股分享,現在和大家一起看看恆指以及港股今日的情況。和往常一樣,我們先從恆指說起。今日市場走勢到最後 變化其實不算大,恆指上漲了4點,收於25835點。雖然今天稍有回升,但整體來看,恆指仍在近期的低位區間運行。此前恆指曾觸及保利通道頂部後開始回 調,至今已經有了比較明顯的回落。 恆指最新的技術信號分析。當前恆指的技術信號整體略微偏向看好,呈現買入趨勢,其中有9個買入信號,5個賣出信號。阻力位方面,當前大概在26500點 左右,如果能突破26500點,後續有望上探26800點。所以之前提到的投資者買入收回價在27000點左右的熊證,從阻力位分析來看是比較合理的選擇,相對 安全一些。支撐位方面,大概在25300點,若跌破25300點,可能會下探24700點。因此,如果投資者想要買入牛證,建議選擇行使價在25000點左右,甚至接 近24700點的產品,這樣被收回的概率會相對較低。需要提醒投資者的是,在佈局牛熊證時,一定要 ...
平保關鍵價位爭奪,短線方向如何抉擇
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-19 21:23
中國平安股價近期在56至60元區間內持續震盪,最新價位58.1元守在關鍵技術位附近,成交額13.33億元,顯示市場參與度相對平穩。 從技術走勢觀察,股價目前圍繞主要移動平均線波動,MA10位於59.04元形成近期阻力,MA30在56.29元提供支撐,而MA60則在55.77元構成重要防線。特 別值得注意的是,RSI指標處於61水平,屬於中性偏強區域,多個震盪指標發出買入信號,包括動量震盪指標和MACD都顯示看好,這種技術形態反映出市 場對保險板塊的謹慎樂觀情緒。 在牛熊證部分,摩通牛證67601提供16.8倍實際槓桿,收回價設在56元,實際槓桿最高;法興牛證66165則提供17.3倍實際槓桿,收回價56元,溢價最低。看 空的瑞銀熊證52561提供8.9倍實際槓桿,收回價65元;滙豐熊證53012則提供9.9倍實際槓桿,收回價64元,溢價相對較低。這些產品各具優勢,投資者應根 據自身風險偏好和市場觀點作出選擇。 歡迎分享您的市場觀點與交易策略!如果想獲得更多保險板塊與衍生產品的最新分析,記得關注「港股窩輪Jenny」帳號,那裡有專業的市場解讀與實戰技 巧分享。 在關鍵價位分析方面,平保的短期支持位分別位於56. ...
光大新鸿基每日策略-20251117
光大新鸿基· 2025-11-17 05:43
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,572 points, down 500 points or 1.9% from the previous day, with a total turnover of HKD 232.79 billion, a decrease of 14% day-on-day[6]. - Year-to-date performance shows the Hang Seng Index has increased by 31.81%, while the Financial Index has risen by 19.00%[4]. Sector Performance - Technology stocks faced significant declines, with Baidu down 7.2%, JD Group down 6.0%, and Alibaba down 4.4%[6]. - Conversely, pharmaceutical stocks performed well, with Wangshan Wangshui up 23.9%, Gilead Sciences up 15.5%, and Laika Pharmaceuticals up 12.2%[6]. Economic Indicators - The unemployment rate is expected to decrease, although some scholars view this as overly optimistic[3]. - Foreign investment in Chinese stocks reached nearly HKD 400 billion in the first ten months of the year[3]. Company News - Financial One Account (6638.HK) announced that its privatization plan has been approved by the court, expected to take effect on November 19[6]. - Hope Education International Holdings (1765.HK) is selling its 100% stake in Xi'an Benos Education Management for RMB 10 million, with a total cash settlement of RMB 380 million[6]. Global Market Trends - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 47,147 points, down 309 points or 0.65%, while the S&P 500 fell by 0.05% to 6,734 points[6]. - The Nasdaq Composite rose by 0.13% to 22,900 points, indicating mixed performance among major U.S. indices[6]. Commodity Prices - New York crude oil prices increased by 2.39% to USD 60.09 per barrel, while Brent crude rose by 2.19% to USD 64.39 per barrel[4].
众安在线(06060) - 关於保费收入的公告
2025-11-13 11:00
(於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司,並以「ZA Online Fintech P & C」在香港經營業務) 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責,對其準確性或完 整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示,概不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內 容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 眾安在綫財產保險股份有限公司 ZHONGAN ONLINE P & C INSURANCE CO., LTD.* 中國上海,2025年11月13日 (股份代號:6060) 於本公告日期,本公司董事會包括兩名執行董事姜興先生及李高峰先生,五名非執行董事歐亞平先 生、史良洵先生、張爽先生、歐晉羿先生及尹海先生,以及四名獨立非執行董事歐偉先生、鄭慧恩 女士、陳詠芝女士及蔡朝暉先生。 關於保費收入的公告 * 僅供識別及以「ZA Online Fintech P & C」在香港經營業務 承董事會命 眾安在綫財產保險股份有限公司 董事長 尹海 眾安在綫財產保險股份有限公司(「本公司」)於二零二五年一月一日至二零二五年十 月三十一日所獲得的原保險保費收入總額約為人民幣29,822百萬元。上述資料按照 中華 ...
恒指升226點,滬指跌2點,標普500升1點
宝通证券· 2025-11-13 03:14
Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index rose by 226 points or 0.8%, closing at 26,922 points, after reaching a high of 27,016 points[1] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 2 points or 0.07%, closing at 4,000 points, with a total trading volume of 840.5 billion yuan[1] - The total trading volume in the Hong Kong market was 236.395 billion yuan[1] Economic Indicators - The People's Bank of China conducted a 195.5 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation at a rate of 1.4%, resulting in a net injection of 130 billion yuan for the day[1] - The RMB/USD central parity rate was adjusted up by 33 points to 7.0833[1] Corporate Earnings - Manulife Financial reported a net income of 1.799 billion CAD for Q3, a year-on-year decrease of 2.2%, while core earnings increased by 11.3% to 2.035 billion CAD[3] - Samsonite's Q3 sales revenue was 873 million USD, a slight decrease of 0.6% year-on-year, with net profit increasing by 11% to 73.5 million USD[3] - China Resources Land's total contract sales in October were approximately 15.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 51%[3]
信达国际控股港股晨报-20251113
Xin Da Guo Ji Kong Gu· 2025-11-13 02:03
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index faces resistance at 27,381 points due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on interest rate cuts, with expectations for fewer cuts in 2026 than previously anticipated [2] - The recent meeting between the US and Chinese leaders has eased tensions temporarily, with the US suspending a 10% tariff on fentanyl for one year [2] - China's third-quarter economic performance has further cooled, aligning with the "14th Five-Year Plan" which emphasizes expanding domestic demand and promoting technological self-reliance [2] Sector Focus - The total online retail sales during the "Double 11" shopping festival in 2025 are projected to reach approximately 1.7 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.2% [8] - The banking sector is reportedly offering loans to businesses and individuals to meet lending targets, indicating a slowdown in effective loan demand [8] - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from strong investment returns in the third quarter due to robust performance in the A-share market [7] Company News - Tencent Music's adjusted profit for the third quarter increased by 32%, surpassing expectations, with total revenue reaching 8.463 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 20.64% [10] - Semiconductor manufacturer SMIC is reportedly prioritizing chip distribution to meet the demands of major companies like Huawei amid ongoing supply shortages [10] - Foxconn's third-quarter net profit rose by 17% to 57.673 billion NTD, driven by increased shipments of Apple iPhones and AI servers [9] Economic Indicators - The US Federal Reserve announced a 0.25% interest rate cut, bringing the target range to 3.75% to 4.00%, with further cuts remaining uncertain due to internal disagreements [4] - The global dividend payout in the third quarter reached a record high of 94 billion USD in Hong Kong, with a core growth rate of 15.4% [8] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts that global oil consumption may continue to grow until 2050, with a projected increase of 13% [9]
平保區間突破在即?短線交易的全方位解析
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-11 13:16
Core Insights - China Ping An's stock price has shown a steady upward trend, currently at 59.25 HKD, reflecting a 2.24% increase [1] - The stock is at a critical technical position, with short-term support at 56.5 HKD and potential downside to 54.3 HKD if adjustments deepen [1] - The upper resistance level is at 59.5 HKD, with a breakthrough potentially targeting 61.8 HKD [1] - Moving averages indicate a bullish arrangement, with the 10-day moving average at 56.96 HKD significantly above the 30-day and 60-day moving averages [1] - The recent 5-day volatility of 5.7% provides reasonable trading space for short-term traders, although the RSI has reached 66, indicating an overbought condition [1] Technical Indicators - Technical indicators present mixed signals; while several oscillators indicate neutrality, the Williams and Stochastic indicators show overbought conditions, and the CCI has issued a sell signal [3] - Conversely, MACD and Bollinger Bands maintain buy signals, indicating a divergence in technical indicators [3] Derivative Products Performance - Recent derivative products have shown remarkable performance, with products recommended on November 5 achieving significant gains; for instance, Bank of China call option 18122 and UBS call option 18154 recorded increases of 41% and 38% respectively, against a backdrop of a 3.02% rise in the underlying stock [3] - JPMorgan's bull certificate 59648 and UBS bull certificate 61834 also saw increases of 29% and 24% respectively [3] Options and Leverage - UBS call option 18154 offers a leverage of 16.7 times with a strike price of 67.23 HKD, while Bank of China call option 18122 provides a leverage of 15.7 times with the same strike price [6] - HSBC put option 19792 offers a leverage of 13.7 times with a strike price of 49.16 HKD, noted for its low premium and implied volatility [6] - Morgan Stanley put option 20419 provides a leverage of 12.9 times with the same strike price, also characterized by favorable leverage and implied volatility [6] Bull and Bear Certificates - UBS bull certificate 58105 offers a leverage of 9.9 times with a redemption price of 53 HKD, noted for its high actual leverage and low premium [8] - UBS bull certificate 61986 provides a leverage of 8.8 times with a redemption price of 52 HKD, recognized for its lowest premium and high actual leverage [8] - HSBC bear certificate 61965 offers a leverage of 25.5 times with a redemption price of 60 HKD, while Societe Generale bear certificate 51885 provides a leverage of 27.9 times with the same redemption price, both noted for their low premiums [8]
光大新鸿基:告重
光大新鸿基· 2025-11-11 12:19
Market Overview - US stock markets experienced a decline, with the Dow Jones down 1.21% to 46,987.10, the S&P 500 down 1.63% to 6,728.80, and the Nasdaq down 3.04% to 23,004.54[5][6] - The Hang Seng Index rose 1.29% to 26,241.83, while the National Enterprises Index increased by 1.08% to 9,267.56[5][3] Commodity and Currency Markets - New York crude oil fell 2.02% to $59.75 per barrel, while New York gold rose 0.33% to $4,009.80 per ounce[5][3] - The US Dollar Index decreased by 0.20% to 99.60, with the Euro rising 0.25% to 1.1566 and the Australian Dollar falling 0.79% to 0.6493[3][31] Economic Indicators - The University of Michigan's consumer confidence index dropped to 50.3, the lowest since June 2022, with inflation expectations slightly rising to 4.7%[8][24] - US companies announced 153,000 layoffs in October, a significant increase of over 1.8 times month-on-month, marking the largest October layoffs since 2003[8][24] Bond Market Insights - The US government shutdown continues, impacting market stability; the 2-year Treasury yield is at 3.591%, while the 10-year yield is at 4.116%[26] - Hong Kong plans to issue tokenized bonds, with previous issuances totaling HKD 6.8 billion since 2023, aiming to enhance its status as a financial hub[26] Investment Strategies - AI-themed funds are highlighted as a key strategy for capturing future trends, emphasizing the importance of technology innovation and ethical standards[21] - Investors are advised to remain cautious and await clearer market directions before making significant investment decisions[18]
聚焦《個股分析與產品列表.pdf》10只個股技術指標及窩輪推薦
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-11 11:37
Core Insights - The article provides a technical analysis and recommendations for 10 stocks, highlighting their short-term trends and key support and resistance levels. Group 1: Tencent (Code: 00700) - Tencent shows a continuous upward trend, being a leader in the domestic internet industry with a strong user base and monetization capabilities across various sectors including social media, gaming, fintech, and cloud computing [1] - Support level is at 617, resistance level at 682, with corresponding call option code 18981 and put option code 20518 [1] Group 2: Alibaba (Code: 09988) - Alibaba is also on an upward trajectory, recognized as a global e-commerce and technology giant with a robust ecosystem and supply chain capabilities [1] - Support level is at 150.5, resistance level at 176.8, with call option code 15432 and put option code 20870 [1] Group 3: Meituan (Code: 03690) - Meituan's short-term trend is positive, being a leading local service platform in China with high market penetration and user engagement [2] - Support level is at 95.2, resistance level at 111.4, with call option code 20964 and put option code 21520 [2] Group 4: JD.com (Code: 09618) - JD.com continues to rise, leveraging its high-quality supply chain and efficient logistics, particularly in the 3C electronics and fresh retail sectors [2] - Support level is at 115.5, resistance level at 133.9, with call option code 18979 and put option code 19822 [2] Group 5: Xiaomi Group (Code: 01810) - Xiaomi is experiencing an upward trend, having established a comprehensive ecosystem of smartphones, smart hardware, and IoT platforms [2] - Support level is at 38.4, resistance level at 50.5, with call option code 13204 and put option code 18546 [2] Group 6: Kuaishou (Code: 01024) - Kuaishou shows a positive short-term trend, being a leading short video and live streaming platform with high user activity and a rich content ecosystem [3] - Support level is at 63.1, resistance level at 82.4, with call option code 18961 and put option code 19035 [3] Group 7: BYD (Code: 01211) - BYD is on a favorable trend as a leader in the electric vehicle industry, benefiting from high growth in the sector [3] - Support level is at 93.7, resistance level at 109.9, with call option code 17318 and put option code 19297 [3] Group 8: Hong Kong Stock Exchange (Code: 00388) - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange continues to rise, serving as a key hub connecting mainland and global capital markets [3] - Support level is at 420, resistance level at 452, with call option code 13855 and put option code 19860 [3] Group 9: AIA Group (Code: 01299) - AIA Group is experiencing an upward trend, being a leading life insurance company in the Asia-Pacific region with strong demand for insurance products [4] - Support level is at 73.7, resistance level at 88.3, with call option code 17948 and put option code 18984 [4] Group 10: SMIC (Code: 00981) - SMIC shows a positive trend as the largest integrated circuit foundry in mainland China, benefiting from domestic semiconductor industry growth [4] - Support level is at 64.7, resistance level at 88.3, with call option code 18977 and put option code 21385 [4]