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潮宏基(002345):单店驱动收入增长持续提速 金价高位震荡加速行业转型
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 08:34
Core Viewpoint - The company is benefiting from industry trends, launching low-priced products and maintaining a strong position despite rising gold prices [1][3]. Group 1: Revenue Growth - In Q3 2025, the company's revenue reached 2.14 billion, a year-on-year increase of 49.5%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -0.1 million [2]. - Excluding goodwill impairment of 170 million for women's bags, the adjusted net profit was 160 million, reflecting an 81.5% increase [2]. - Jewelry revenue grew by 53.6%, indicating a clear shift towards one-price and differentiated products amid high gold prices [2]. Group 2: Industry Transformation - The gold jewelry industry is transitioning from channel-driven growth to brand and product-driven growth due to rising gold prices and changing consumer sentiment [2][3]. - Recent adjustments in the value-added tax policy for gold are expected to create short-term challenges but will accelerate the industry's shift towards craftsmanship and design innovation [2]. Group 3: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 470 million and 640 million in 2025 and 2026, respectively, maintaining a "strong buy" rating [3]. - The ongoing rise in gold prices and improvements in gold craftsmanship are expected to stimulate daily wear and self-indulgent demand in the industry [3].