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化妆品医美行业周报:再生药械再添两员,轻医美概念方兴未艾-20250713
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-07-13 07:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the cosmetics and medical beauty industry, indicating a "Buy" recommendation for several companies within the sector [2][14]. Core Insights - The cosmetics and medical beauty sector has shown weaker performance compared to the market, with the Shenwan Beauty Care Index rising by 1.5% from July 4 to July 11, 2025, which is below the market average [3][5]. - The introduction of new products in the regenerative medicine sector, particularly in the "童颜针" (youthful needle) category, is expected to enhance consumer interest and expand the market [2][8]. - The report highlights strong anticipated earnings growth for several key companies in the cosmetics sector for the second quarter of 2025, with notable increases in revenue and net profit for brands like 上美股份 (Shangmei), 丸美股份 (Marubi), and 珀莱雅 (Proya) [9][10][11]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The cosmetics and medical beauty sector has underperformed the market, with specific indices showing varied performance, such as the Shenwan Cosmetics Index increasing by 2.6% [3][5]. - The report notes that the demand for cosmetics is recovering, with a 4.1% year-on-year increase in retail sales for the first five months of 2025 [19][20]. Company Performance - 上美股份 (Shangmei) is expected to see a revenue increase of 16% and a net profit increase of 25% in the first half of 2025 [10]. - 丸美股份 (Marubi) anticipates a 22% revenue growth and a 28% increase in net profit for the second quarter of 2025 [10]. - 珀莱雅 (Proya) is projected to achieve a 10% revenue growth and a 15% increase in net profit for the second quarter of 2025 [10]. - 毛戈平 (Mao Geping) expects a significant revenue increase of 38% and a net profit increase of 35% in the first half of 2025 [10]. - 若羽臣 (Ruoyuchen) forecasts a remarkable 70% revenue growth and a 75% increase in net profit for the second quarter of 2025 [10]. Market Trends - The report emphasizes the ongoing trend of domestic brands gaining market share, with national brands occupying five of the top ten positions in the skincare market [32]. - The regenerative medicine sector is expanding, with new products enhancing consumer engagement and market growth potential [2][8]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong brand matrices and high growth potential, such as 上美股份 (Shangmei), 珀莱雅 (Proya), and 丸美股份 (Marubi) [14]. - It suggests monitoring companies that leverage e-commerce and social media platforms effectively, such as 若羽臣 (Ruoyuchen) and 毛戈平 (Mao Geping) [14].