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伊利上半年多元业务贡献度大幅提升 乳业龙头估值逻辑已变
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-08-29 14:30
Core Viewpoint - The company maintains its profit margin target of 9% and anticipates record-high dividends this year, signaling a positive outlook despite market cycles [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, the company achieved total revenue of 61.933 billion yuan, significantly outpacing the second-largest competitor by 20.3 billion yuan, demonstrating a "disruptive" lead [1] - The non-GAAP net profit reached 7.016 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.78%, marking a historical high [1] Business Diversification - The company's diversified business model has significantly contributed to its robust performance, with the infant formula segment becoming a key revenue driver, achieving the largest market share in China [2][4] - The adult milk powder segment continues to lead the industry, with double-digit growth and an expanding market share [4] Product Innovation - The company is focusing on optimizing its product structure, with the proportion of milk powder and dairy products increasing from 11% in 2019 to 27% in the first half of this year [4] - New product launches in the health-oriented segment, such as the "Xinhui" brand, have received positive market feedback, driving over 20% growth in the mid-to-high-end business [4][6] Profitability and Growth Strategy - The company reported a 5.77% year-on-year increase in revenue for the second quarter, with a 44.65% rise in net profit, indicating accelerated improvement [7] - The company aims to maintain a net profit margin of approximately 9% for the year while striving for higher profitability through innovation and product upgrades [7] Shareholder Returns - The company plans to continue its dividend policy of distributing no less than 70% of net profits, with expectations for stable or increased dividend amounts compared to last year [8] - Over the past three years, the company has distributed a total of 22 billion yuan in cash dividends, maintaining a dividend payout ratio above 70% [8] Market Position and Valuation - The company is positioned as a leading player in the dairy industry, with a clear long-term growth trajectory supported by its core dairy business and expansion into high-potential new markets [10] - The valuation of the dairy sector is currently at historical lows, and the company’s high growth and dividend yield make it an attractive investment option [10][11]