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电子|SEMICON:国产替代大放异彩,行业整合大势所趋
中信证券研究· 2025-03-30 06:35
Core Viewpoint - The 2025 SEMICON conference showcased the rapid progress of the domestic semiconductor industry, highlighting the emergence of new companies, technologies, and products, indicating a vibrant industry landscape and a trend towards domestic substitution and consolidation [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Growth and Trends - The 2025 SEMICON China event held in Shanghai attracted over 1,400 exhibitors, marking a 30% increase from 847 exhibitors in 2024, reflecting the robust growth of domestic semiconductor companies [2]. - The global semiconductor market is projected to grow by 19% in 2024, reaching $628 billion, with expectations of over 10% growth in 2025, driven by advancements in high-end technology and AI applications [3]. - Domestic semiconductor companies are expected to benefit from the ongoing domestic substitution trend, with the current domestic production rate in the upstream semiconductor sector being less than 30% [3]. Group 2: Product Innovations and Technological Advancements - Several domestic semiconductor companies launched new products at the SEMICON China 2025, including North Huachuang's ion implanter and advanced packaging equipment, and Zhongwei's 12-inch wafer edge etching equipment [4][5]. - The government is actively supporting the semiconductor industry, with the 2025 government work report emphasizing the need to strengthen the foundational capabilities of the semiconductor sector [5]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The increase in market participants is leading to accelerated platform development among manufacturers, indicating a trend towards industry consolidation, reminiscent of historical patterns in the semiconductor equipment sector [6]. - The domestic semiconductor industry is entering a "Warring States" period, with the expectation that mergers and acquisitions will become a prevailing trend as companies seek to enhance their market positions [1][6]. - The focus on domestic substitution is expected to create significant opportunities for companies involved in semiconductor equipment and components, particularly those with advanced processes and low domestic production rates [8].