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盛业(06069):2025年中报点评:平台化战略成效显著,高股息凸显价值
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-08-17 12:54
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, anticipating a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5][12]. Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 405 million RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 7.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 28.7% to 200 million RMB [2]. - The decline in revenue is attributed to the company's ongoing shift towards a light-asset strategy, which has led to reduced interest income from self-funded investments and declining returns from supply chain asset refinancing. However, this impact has been partially offset by the successful implementation of a platform strategy [3]. - The company's platform technology service revenue reached 211 million RMB, showing a robust year-on-year growth of 37.0%, accounting for over 50.0% of total revenue, thus becoming a core growth driver [3]. - The company has seen a significant increase in its share of joint venture performance, which rose by 94.1% to 79 million RMB, providing crucial support for net profit growth [3]. - The cumulative transaction scale of the company's platform exceeded 2,780 billion RMB by the end of June 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 29% [3]. - The company is actively expanding into innovative sectors such as e-commerce, achieving a cumulative transaction scale of over 2.8 billion RMB in this area, which represents an almost eightfold increase year-on-year [3]. - A strategic partnership with a leading global industrial robotics company has been established, marking significant progress in the emerging robotics sector [4]. Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The company is expected to continue benefiting from its strategic positioning in e-commerce, AI, and robotics, driving further expansion of its supply chain technology platform [5]. - The overall fee structure is anticipated to improve as the proportion of high-value income increases, enhancing profitability [5]. - The total dividend payout for 2025 is projected to be approximately 950 million RMB, resulting in a high expected dividend yield of 8.6% for shareholders [5]. - The forecasted net profit for the full year 2025 is estimated to reach 512 million RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 35%, with a corresponding price-to-earnings ratio of 21.4 times [5].