1. Report Investment Rating - The report does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week's pulp outlook is slightly bullish. International pulp mills' production cuts and product conversions support the current pulp prices from falling, and the increase in foreign market prices further boosts market sentiment. However, the demand market is currently slow to follow up. Whether pulp prices can continue to rise or surge significantly depends on the shipment status and production fluctuations in the demand-side base paper market. Additionally, macro - policy stimuli can also affect the price fluctuations of pulp futures. It is recommended to monitor port inventory levels and base paper demand [75]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Industry News - As of August 14, 2025, the pulp inventory at Changshu Port was 536,000 tons, a week - on - week increase of 51,000 tons or 10.5%. Qingdao Port's inventory was 1.375 million tons, a decrease of 10,000 tons or 0.7%. Gaolan Port's inventory was 50,000 tons, a decrease of 11,000 tons or 18.0%. The total inventory of major sample ports was 2.099 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 51,000 tons or 2.5% [6]. - Brazil's Suzano announced a reduction of nearly 500,000 tons in commodity pulp production over the next 12 months, equivalent to about 1% of the global demand for 40 million tons of hardwood pulp [6]. - China's pulp imports in July 2025 were 2.877 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 5.1% and a year - on - year increase of 23.7%. The cumulative imports for the year were 21.455 million tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 6.5% [6]. 3.2 Market Data 3.2.1 Market Trends - As of August 15, 2025, the basis for coniferous pulp Silver Star in Shandong was 544 yuan/ton, a month - on - month decrease of 20.93% but a year - on - year increase of 29.52%. The basis for Russian Needle was - 6 yuan/ton, a month - on - month decrease of 110.34% and a year - on - year increase of 80.00%. The price difference between Silver Star and Russian Needle was 550 yuan/ton, a month - on - month decrease of 12.70% and a year - on - year increase of 22.22% [12]. - As of August 15, 2025, the 11 - 01 month - spread was - 220 yuan/ton, a month - on - month increase of 9.84%. The 01 - 05 month - spread was 30 yuan/ton, a month - on - month increase of 36.36% [17]. 3.3 Fundamental Data 3.3.1 Price - The price difference between coniferous and broad - leaf pulp decreased. As of August 15, 2025, the price difference between Silver Star and Goldfish was 1,650 yuan/ton, a month - on - month decrease of 6.78% but a year - on - year increase of 57.14%. The price difference between Russian Needle and Goldfish was 1,100 yuan/ton, a month - on - month decrease of 3.51% and a year - on - year increase of 83.33% [24]. - The import profit of coniferous and broad - leaf pulp improved. As of August 15, 2025, the import profit of coniferous pulp (Silver Star) was - 36.74 yuan/ton, a month - on - month increase of 2.38% and a year - on - year increase of 81.82%. The import profit of broad - leaf pulp (Star) was 87.54 yuan/ton, a month - on - month increase of 769.10% and a year - on - year increase of 123.39% [28]. - The price of coniferous pulp: As of August 15, 2025, the prices of Silver Star, Cariboo, Northern Pine, Lion Brand, and Russian Needle were 5,850 yuan/ton, 5,950 yuan/ton, 6,150 yuan/ton, 5,950 yuan/ton, and 5,300 yuan/ton respectively. The price of Russian Needle increased by 1.53% month - on - month [29]. - The price of broad - leaf pulp: As of August 15, 2025, the prices of Goldfish, Star, Birdie, and Broadleaf were 4,200 yuan/ton, 4,200 yuan/ton, 4,150 yuan/ton, and 4,150 yuan/ton respectively, with month - on - month increases ranging from 2.44% to 2.94% [36]. - The price of natural color pulp and chemimechanical pulp: As of August 15, 2025, the prices of Venus and Kunhe were 4,900 yuan/ton and 3,700 yuan/ton respectively, remaining unchanged month - on - month [40]. 3.3.2 Supply - In June 2025, European port pulp inventory increased both month - on - month and year - on - year, while global pulp shipments in May increased month - on - month [41]. - In June 2025, the performance of pulp imports continued to diverge. Coniferous pulp imports decreased by 6.07% month - on - month, while broad - leaf pulp imports increased by 10.96% month - on - month [45]. 3.3.3 Demand - The capacity utilization rates of some finished paper products showed an upward trend. As of August 15, 2025, the capacity utilization rates of white cardboard, household tissue paper, offset paper, and coated paper were 72.58%, 63.50%, 56.27%, and 57.18% respectively [49]. - The prices of finished paper products were generally weak. As of August 15, 2025, the average prices of white cardboard, household tissue paper, offset paper, and coated paper decreased to varying degrees month - on - month [50]. - The profits of finished paper products weakened [61]. 3.3.4 Inventory - As of August 15, 2025, the warehouse receipt quantity of pulp (warehouse) was 235,100 tons, a month - on - month increase of 1.13% and a year - on - year decrease of 50.02%. The warehouse receipt quantity of pulp (factory warehouse) was 19,200 tons, remaining unchanged month - on - month and a year - on - year decrease of 42.05% [66]. - Overall, port inventory was at a medium level for the year, and the inventory of major domestic ports showed an upward trend this period. Qingdao Port's inventory decreased, while Changshu Port's inventory increased [71].