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国盛证券:“Scale-up“战略正在重塑光通信产业格局 继续看好算力板块
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-10 12:49
Core Insights - The global optical communication industry is experiencing significant changes driven by AI computing demand, highlighted by Corning's strong Q2 earnings and Amphenol's record acquisition of CommScope's CCS business [1][2] Group 1: Corning's Q2 Performance - Corning reported Q2 optical communication revenue of $1.57 billion, a 42% year-over-year increase, with a net profit of $247 million, up 73% [1] - The company emphasized its "Scale-up" strategy, which is expected to create 2-3 times the market space for its existing $2 billion enterprise network business [1] - Corning is collaborating with partners like Broadcom to advance CPO technology to address bottlenecks in optical-electrical conversion [1] Group 2: Amphenol's Acquisition - Amphenol announced a $10.5 billion cash acquisition of CommScope's CCS business, enhancing its full-link layout in the optical fiber interconnection field [2] - This acquisition follows Amphenol's previous purchase of CommScope's wireless network and distributed antenna system business, further intensifying competition with Corning in the optical communication sector [2] Group 3: Transition to Scale-up Architecture - The transition from Scale-out to Scale-up architecture is driven by the need for higher efficiency in AI computing [3] - Scale-up architecture focuses on increasing the computing density of individual nodes, requiring new optical communication technologies [3] - Performance demands for Scale-up networks include high bandwidth and low latency, pushing optical communication technology towards higher energy efficiency and integration [3] Group 4: Industry Restructuring - As bandwidth demands increase, traditional electrical interconnections are nearing physical limits, making chip-level optical interconnections (like CPO) a necessity [4] - Scale-up architecture may involve interconnection lines several kilometers long, challenging traditional copper cable connections due to power consumption and heat dissipation issues [4] Group 5: Impact on the Supply Chain - The optical communication supply chain will benefit in stages from the Scale-up trend, with upstream optical chips/components seeing the first surge in demand [5] - High-density optical interconnections will drive the need for high-speed VCSEL/EML laser chips and optical connectors [5] - Multi-mode optical fibers are expected to experience significant growth due to their cost advantages in short-distance high-density scenarios [5]