全场景光储一体化解决方案

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爱建证券:首次覆盖通润装备给予买入评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-09-05 10:28
Investment Recommendation - The company is initiating coverage on Tongrun Equipment with a "Buy" rating, projecting net profits of 280 million, 400 million, and 490 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 21, 15, and 12 times [1] Company Overview - Tongrun Equipment's main products include photovoltaic storage products (61.65% of revenue in H1 2025) and metal products (37.82% of revenue in H1 2025), with future growth expected from photovoltaic inverters and energy storage [1] - The company is a leading player in the U.S. commercial inverter market and the South Korean inverter market, benefiting from strong brand strength, after-sales service capabilities, and backing from the Chint Group [1] Market Position and Growth - The company has a solid foundation in the U.S. market, with a high revenue share, and has preemptively stocked inventory to mitigate risks from U.S. tariffs, covering the entire shipment volume for 2025 [2] - The company is expanding into new markets, achieving breakthroughs in Europe, Japan, and Australia, with notable projects in Ukraine, Germany, Romania, and Bulgaria [2] - The energy storage business is entering a rapid growth phase, with a 149% year-over-year increase in storage product revenue to 120 million yuan in H1 2025 and a gross margin of 28% [2] Revenue Growth Projections - The company anticipates a 20% annual growth rate in inverter business revenue from 2025 to 2027, driven by steady global photovoltaic demand [3] - For the energy storage business, a projected revenue growth rate of 80%, 70%, and 60% is expected for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, supported by ongoing order acquisition in Europe and Japan [3] Catalysts for Growth - Continued acquisition of energy storage orders and a potential shift in U.S. policies towards more favorable conditions for renewable energy [4]