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配置半夏,押注李蓓
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-04 08:36
Core Viewpoint - The performance of the funds under the company has been strong this year, with recent fluctuations in various fund types, but the company's funds have shown resilience and reached new net asset value highs [16]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - The current asset allocation among high-net-worth individuals and wealth management institutions is concentrated in four categories: quantitative long positions, all-weather funds, science and technology innovation funds, and overseas assets [6][22]. - The existing allocation structure is heavily skewed and crowded, which carries significant risks [7][22]. - The key trigger for risk is whether housing prices and consumer prices can bottom out and recover [8][23]. Group 2: Economic Scenarios - Two potential future economic scenarios are outlined: - Scenario A: A reversal of deflation, leading to a significant rise in the company's investments and a lackluster performance from heavily weighted strategies in the wealth market [10][25]. - Scenario B: Continued deflation, resulting in mediocre performance for the company's investments while the wealth market's four major strategies continue to rise [11][26]. Group 3: Recommendations - It is suggested that allocating a portion of investments to the company and betting on its performance could be a wise choice to hedge risks and improve the risk-return profile of the investment portfolio [12][27]. - The recent confirmation of a major turning point in the Chinese real estate market supports the decision to invest in the company, transitioning from a protective strategy to a more aggressive investment approach [14][30].