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高盛:看好航天板块“颠覆性”机遇,Rocket Lab刷新政府订单纪录,目标价上看 47 美元
美股IPO· 2025-12-24 16:03
Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs released an in-depth research report focusing on the U.S. Space Development Agency's (SDA) "Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture" (PWSA) project, particularly analyzing the contract awards for the third batch of tracking layer satellites [1][3]. Summary by Sections Contract Awards and Project Overview - The SDA announced the third batch of tracking layer satellite contracts on December 19, 2025, with a total value of $3.5 billion, covering the construction and launch of 72 satellites, expected to be gradually deployed starting in 2029 [3]. - The PWSA project aims to create a low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite constellation for missile warning, tracking, and defense services, evolving through phased implementation to address complex space security challenges [3][4]. Satellite Development and Funding - Since the project's inception, the SDA has awarded contracts worth $13.6 billion for the construction of 518 tracking and communication satellites, with the third batch showing both quantity growth and significant technological upgrades [4][6]. - The satellite iteration plan is divided into multiple batches: Batch 0 deployed 28 satellites, Batch 1 expanded to 154, Batch 2 increased to 264, and the current Batch 3 includes 72 satellites [5]. Company Analysis and Ratings - For L3Harris, Goldman Sachs gives a buy rating with a 12-month target price of $351, based on a projected 4.75% free cash flow yield for 2026 [10]. - Northrop Grumman receives a neutral rating with a target price of $533, calculated based on a relative P/E ratio of 0.99 times the expected 2026 earnings [10]. - Rocket Lab is also rated neutral with a target price of $47, based on a projected enterprise value/sales ratio of 23.0 times for FY2027 [11]. - Lockheed Martin is rated sell with a target price of $430, determined by a relative P/E ratio of 0.81 times the expected 2026 earnings [12]. Industry Impact and Challenges - The PWSA project is expected to have a profound impact on satellite communication and navigation, enabling low-latency global communication access, which supports emerging applications like telemedicine and autonomous driving [12]. - The aerospace sector faces challenges such as high launch costs, bandwidth and latency issues, and space debris, which are critical constraints on further industry development [12].
高盛:看好航天板块“颠覆性”机遇,Rocket Lab(RKLB.US)刷新政府订单纪录,目标价上看 47 美元
智通财经网· 2025-12-24 09:30
智通财经APP获悉,高盛发布了一份针对航天板块的深度研究报告,该报告将关注焦点放在了美国国防部太空发展局(SDA)所推进的"扩散 型作战人员太空架构"(PWSA)项目上,尤其对其第三批次跟踪层卫星合同的授予情况进行了深入剖析。 该报告指出,SDA在2025年12月19日宣布了PWSA项目第三批次跟踪层卫星的合同,总价值高达35亿美元,涵盖了72颗卫星的建造与发射 任务,预计自2029年起逐步部署。这一重大合同由L3Harris(LHX.US)、洛克希德·马丁(LMT.US)、诺斯罗普·格鲁曼(NOC.US)和Rocket Lab(RKLB.US)四家公司共同承担,每家公司均获得了数亿美元的订单,其中Rocket Lab更是凭借此次合同赢得了其迄今为止最大的政府订 单,标志着创新型颠覆者在国家安全关键合同中的崛起。 据了解,PWSA项目旨在构建一个由军事卫星组成的低地球轨道(LEO)星座,提供端到端的导弹预警、导弹跟踪及导弹防御服务。该项目通 过分阶段实施,不断迭代升级卫星性能,以应对日益复杂的太空安全挑战。从最初的概念验证到如今的持续能力增强,PWSA项目已逐步 成为美国太空防御体系的重要组成部分。 高盛在报 ...