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未来战场:AI赋能无人作战新范式
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-07 14:15
Industry Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform" for the industry [1]. Core Insights - The future battlefield will be centered around data, algorithms, and computing power, with fully AI-enabled human-machine integrated forces being essential for gaining the upper hand in future conflicts [2][8]. - The global military drone market is experiencing rapid growth, projected to exceed $50 billion by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.15% from 2024 to 2032, driven by advancements in AI-enabled drone technology [2][45]. Summary by Sections Military AI and Drone Technology - The integration of AI and unmanned technologies is transforming modern warfare, as evidenced by the significant potential demonstrated in the Russia-Ukraine conflict [3]. - Companies like Palantir and Anduril Industries are leading the charge in military AI innovation, with plans to form a commercial consortium to capture a larger share of the $850 billion annual U.S. defense budget [3][39]. - The military drone market is expected to grow from $16.07 billion in 2024 to $47.16 billion by 2032, with North America being the largest market [45][44]. Unmanned Combat Operations - Unmanned combat operations are categorized into reconnaissance, harassment, precision strikes, saturation attacks, and support enhancements, marking a shift towards a drone-centric combat paradigm [29]. - The report highlights the effectiveness of drones in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, where drones accounted for 42.47% of vehicle strikes, surpassing traditional artillery [33]. AI-Driven Decision Making - The concept of "human-machine integration" is crucial, where human commanders will still play a central role in decision-making, while machines will assist through data processing and real-time analysis [7]. - AI technologies are enhancing military capabilities by providing real-time data processing and autonomous decision-making, significantly improving operational efficiency [8][39]. Key Companies to Watch - The report suggests focusing on key players in military AI chips and data analytics, including KST, Fudan Microelectronics, and others [4]. - Companies like Palantir and Anduril are highlighted for their innovative approaches in AI and unmanned systems, with significant contracts and partnerships in the defense sector [85][97].