Core Viewpoint - Hongxing Cold Chain (Hunan) Co., Ltd. is preparing for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, having distributed 84.39% of its net profit as dividends to shareholders over the past three years, raising concerns about its growth potential and regional limitations [2][3][13] Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of 236.736 million yuan, 201.76 million yuan, and 233.576 million yuan for the years 2022 to 2024, with net profits of 79.112 million yuan, 75.312 million yuan, and 82.88 million yuan respectively, indicating revenue volatility [3] - Total net profit over the past three years was 237.304 million yuan, with cash dividends amounting to 200 million yuan, which is 84.39% of the net profit [3][4] - In 2024, the company plans to distribute 140 million yuan in cash dividends, which equals its entire profit for that year, plus an additional 57 million yuan from previous profits [3][6] Market Position - Hongxing Cold Chain holds an 8.9% market share in the central region of China for frozen food trading services, ranking second, and a 52.7% market share in Hunan province, ranking first [7][8] - In the cold storage service market, the company ranks first in both the central region and Hunan province, with market shares of 2.6% and 13.6% respectively [7][8] Growth Concerns - The company has experienced a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -0.67% in revenue, which is significantly lower than the industry growth rates [8][13] - The overall market for food cold chain trading services in China is expected to grow from 4.7 trillion yuan in 2020 to 5.2 trillion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 2.7% [10] - The cold storage service market is projected to grow from 21.7 billion yuan in 2020 to 25.6 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 4.2% [10] IPO Purpose - The primary purpose of the upcoming IPO is to raise funds for expansion, research and development, acquisitions, and to address liquidity issues following the substantial dividend payouts [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - Hongxing Cold Chain has submitted an application for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange after failing to go public in A-shares five years ago, amid a stagnation in its revenue and net profit growth over the past three years [1][4][6]. Company Overview - Established in 2006, Hongxing Cold Chain is a leading integrated service platform for frozen food trading and storage, with a self-operated trading market area of 36,000 square meters and a storage capacity exceeding 1 million cubic meters [3][4]. - The company ranks first in Hunan Province and second in Central China for frozen food trading services, with an expected transaction value of approximately 40 billion yuan in 2024 [4][6]. Financial Performance - From 2022 to 2024, Hongxing Cold Chain's revenue fluctuated around 200 million yuan, while net profit remained between 75 million and 83 million yuan, with a stable gross margin above 50% [7][8]. - The company faces significant pressure from high fixed asset ratios, with fixed assets accounting for 89.8% of total assets by the end of 2024, leading to increased depreciation and amortization costs [8][9]. Market Challenges - The cold chain logistics industry in China is highly fragmented and competitive, with rising vacancy rates in cold storage facilities, which reached 11.9% by 2024, indicating a growing supply-demand imbalance [9][12]. - Hongxing Cold Chain's reliance on the local market and insufficient technological investment have become apparent, as over 90% of its revenue comes from Hunan Province, limiting its expansion potential [10][13]. Competitive Landscape - National cold chain giants like Yuhu Cold Chain are aggressively entering the Changsha market, posing a direct threat to Hongxing Cold Chain's market position [2][14]. - The company is at a disadvantage compared to competitors like JD Cold Chain and SF Express, which have established national networks and higher technological capabilities [12][13]. Future Outlook - The cold chain logistics market is expected to grow due to the rise of fresh e-commerce, agricultural product upgrades, and increased demand for high-standard distribution systems in lower-tier markets [10][12]. - Yuhu Cold Chain's rapid development in Changsha, including a significant investment in a digital cold chain food trading center, highlights the competitive pressures facing Hongxing Cold Chain [14][15][17].