Core Points - Trump has announced new export control measures aimed at increasing pressure on China, but the effectiveness of these measures is uncertain due to a political crisis in the U.S. [1] - The U.S. Department of Commerce plans to strengthen export controls on Chinese companies, particularly those on the "entity list," which could affect thousands of Chinese firms [1] - China has expressed its intention to defend the rights of its companies and may take necessary countermeasures [1] Group 1 - The U.S. government is facing a potential shutdown due to a lack of agreement on funding, which could hinder the implementation of Trump's export control measures [1][3] - Approximately 800,000 government employees may face unpaid leave if the government shuts down, impacting various policies including immigration and tariffs [1][3] - Historical context shows that the U.S. government has experienced 14 shutdowns since 1980, often leading to compromises due to economic pressures [3] Group 2 - Trump's administration is grappling with contradictions in U.S.-China policy amid internal political strife, leading to a lack of coherent strategy [5][7] - The aggressive tariff policies have caused dissatisfaction among traditional U.S. allies and have created internal dissent within the military [7] - The announced export control measures may face significant obstacles in execution, suggesting that domestic issues should be prioritized over aggressive foreign policy [9]