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文灿股份(603348):海外业务承压,静待边际改善
Huachuang Securities· 2025-08-27 04:11
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 25.8 CNY [2][8]. Core Views - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 2.8 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 9%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.13 billion CNY, down 84% year-on-year [2][8]. - The company's performance is under pressure due to external factors, particularly in overseas markets, but there are expectations for marginal improvements in the future [2][8]. - The domestic market shows signs of recovery, with the company's main operations achieving a net profit of 0.80 billion CNY, reflecting a 10% year-on-year increase [2][8]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 6,247 million CNY, 6,275 million CNY, 7,038 million CNY, and 7,467 million CNY respectively, with growth rates of 22.5%, 0.4%, 12.2%, and 6.1% [4][9]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 115 million CNY in 2024A, 87 million CNY in 2025E, 231 million CNY in 2026E, and 256 million CNY in 2027E, with corresponding growth rates of 128.2%, -24.6%, 166.9%, and 10.8% [4][9]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.37 CNY in 2024A, 0.28 CNY in 2025E, 0.74 CNY in 2026E, and 0.82 CNY in 2027E [4][9]. Market Performance - The company's stock price has shown fluctuations, with a 12-month high of 29.61 CNY and a low of 20.01 CNY [5][9]. - The company is positioned as a benchmark in the integrated die-casting industry, with expectations for performance recovery in the latter half of the year and into the next [2][8].