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骄成超声(688392):首次覆盖:业绩拐点持续确认,新兴业务快速增长
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an OUTPERFORM rating for the company, indicating expected performance above the market average over the next 12-18 months [19][28]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing a performance turnaround, with significant growth in emerging business sectors such as IGBT, wiring harness, and semiconductor applications. The lithium battery business is also recovering, leading to a positive outlook for future earnings growth [5][19]. - The target price is set at RMB 52.26, based on a 50x price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025, which is higher than the industry average [5][7]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from RMB 525 million in 2023 to RMB 1,318 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20.7% [4]. - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB 67 million in 2023 to RMB 249 million in 2027, with a notable recovery in profit margins [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is RMB 1.05, RMB 1.80, and RMB 2.17 respectively [5][19]. Business Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of RMB 585 million, a year-on-year increase of 11.3%, and a net profit of RMB 86 million, up 29.04% year-on-year [20]. - The revenue from power battery ultrasonic welding equipment decreased significantly by 53.48% year-on-year, while parts business revenue increased by 70.45% [5][20]. - New business segments, including wiring harness connectors and semiconductor ultrasonic equipment, contributed 21.95% to total revenue [20]. Research and Development - The company maintains a high R&D investment rate of 21.65%, focusing on new product development and customer adoption in various sectors [5][20]. - The R&D efforts have led to breakthroughs in ultrasonic applications across multiple industries, including automotive, medical devices, and consumer electronics [5][17].