Core Viewpoint - The performance of First REIT has been negatively impacted by fluctuations in the Indonesian Rupiah exchange rate, leading to a downgrade in its rating from "Buy" to "Hold" by OCBC Bank, while maintaining a target price of SGD 0.27 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - First REIT's DPU for the first half of 2025 was SGD 0.0113, a decrease of 5.8% year-on-year, falling short of analyst expectations primarily due to exchange rate fluctuations [2] - Rental income and net property income (NPI) for the first half of 2025 declined by 2.9% and 2.7% year-on-year, amounting to SGD 50.5 million and SGD 48.9 million respectively; excluding currency effects, the property portfolio in Indonesia and Japan would have seen a rental growth of 5.5% [2] - The total distributable amount decreased by 4.8% year-on-year to SGD 23.8 million [2] Group 2: Analyst Predictions - Analysts at OCBC Bank have lowered their DPU forecasts for FY2025 and FY2026 by 3.8% and 3.2% respectively, citing ongoing currency headwinds [3] - Despite the downgrade, the fair value estimate remains at SGD 0.27 due to lower risk-free rate assumptions partially offsetting the rise in risk premiums [3] - The current closing price of SGD 0.280 indicates a tight valuation [3] Group 3: Strategic Review and Market Outlook - First REIT is undergoing a strategic review of its Indonesian hospital asset portfolio, having received an initial acquisition interest from PT Siloam International Hospitals [4] - Analysts recommend a "wait-and-see" approach for investors until the results of the strategic review are clearer [4] - The trust benefits from a weighted average lease expiry (WALE) of 10.1 years, providing stable cash flow, alongside structural trends such as aging population and increasing demand for quality healthcare services [4] - As of June 30, 2025, the trust's leverage ratio has slightly increased to 41.2%, with outstanding rent from tenant PT Metropolis Propertindo Utama accumulating to SGD 7 million [4]