Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that Henderson Land Development (00012) plans to issue HKD 8 billion convertible bonds (CB), which is somewhat unexpected given the recent strong performance of its stock, as issuing CBs is not common for Hong Kong real estate companies [1] Group 1: Company Actions - The issuance of CBs is seen as a low-cost financing option with a coupon rate of 0.5%, potentially encouraging other developers to explore similar financing methods to lower their average cost of capital [1] - New World Development (00017) is identified as the company with the highest likelihood of a rights issue within the research scope [1] Group 2: Market Performance - Since mid-June, Hong Kong real estate stocks have outperformed the Hang Seng Index by 8% [1] - The recent CB issuance, along with rising Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (HIBOR), may trigger short-term profit-taking, particularly in Henderson Land [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Morgan Stanley suggests buying stocks with clear catalysts, such as Swire Properties (01972) due to share buybacks and improvements in the Chinese retail sector, and Link REIT (00823) due to its inclusion in the Stock Connect and capital recycling [1] - For Henderson Land, after the market digests potentially weak performance in the first half of 2025 (with a projected 46% year-on-year decline in net profit due to a one-off project in the first half of 2024), the recommendation is to "buy" [1] - From a tactical perspective, Morgan Stanley sees upside potential in Wharf Real Estate Investment Company (01997), which has been upgraded to "overweight" due to a strengthening trend in retail sales [1]