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两岸观察丨为何搞“台独”分裂只会将台湾推入灾难深渊?
Core Viewpoint - The article argues that the pursuit of "Taiwan independence" will lead Taiwan into disaster, emphasizing that any form of "Taiwan independence" will not bring peace or security to the region [2][4]. Military and Security Implications - The DPP government, particularly under Lai Ching-te, is pushing for military independence, increasing defense spending to 3%-5% of GDP, which is seen as escalating tensions and risks of conflict [2] - Mainland China's military exercises and air-sea patrols have created a situation of comprehensive pressure on Taiwan, with the DPP's reliance on U.S. support being questioned as unreliable [4][6]. Economic Consequences - In response to the DPP's provocations, mainland China has suspended tariff concessions under the ECFA for various products, indicating a potential for further economic retaliation [6][8]. - The DPP's policies, such as the "New Southbound Policy," aimed at reducing economic dependence on mainland China, have resulted in economic damage rather than diversification [8][10]. International Relations and Space - The DPP's attempts to expand Taiwan's international space through various exchanges have been ineffective against the backdrop of the One China principle, with 183 countries recognizing this principle [10][12]. - The denial of the "1992 Consensus" has led to Taiwan losing participation in international organizations, which previously was achieved through cross-strait negotiations [12]. Social and Youth Impact - The DPP's education policies promoting "de-Sinicization" have created a divide among Taiwanese youth regarding cross-strait relations, leading to a lack of understanding and increased hostility [14]. - Polls indicate a growing wariness among the Taiwanese public, particularly the youth, towards the idea of "Taiwan independence," with many preferring dialogue over conflict [14]. Conclusion - The article concludes that the path of "Taiwan independence" is fraught with risks and will not yield positive outcomes for Taiwan, advocating for peaceful development of cross-strait relations as the only viable future [2][14].