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紫金矿业(601899):拟并购在产露天金矿,助力百吨黄金产量目标实现
CMS· 2025-07-01 02:04
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for Zijin Mining [3]. Core Views - The acquisition of the Raygorodok gold mine project in Kazakhstan is expected to enhance Zijin Mining's resource reserves and gold production capacity, supporting the company's goal of achieving an annual gold output of 100-110 tons by 2028 [6][3]. - The projected net profit for the years 2025-2027 is estimated at 42.7 billion, 47.9 billion, and 56.5 billion CNY, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 12.1, 10.8, and 9.2 [6][3]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue is projected to grow from 293.4 billion CNY in 2023 to 470.5 billion CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9% [2][13]. - Operating profit is expected to increase significantly from 31.9 billion CNY in 2023 to 85.8 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [2][13]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.79 CNY in 2023 to 2.13 CNY in 2027 [2][14]. Shareholder Information - The major shareholder is Minxi Xinghang State-owned Assets Investment Management Co., Ltd., holding a 22.89% stake in the company [3]. Market Performance - The current share price is 19.5 CNY, with a total market capitalization of approximately 518.3 billion CNY [3].
紫金矿业收购哈萨克斯坦金矿项目 增厚黄金板块资源储备
Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining plans to acquire 100% equity of RG Gold LLP and RG Processing LLP, which own the Raygorodok gold mine project in Kazakhstan, for a total consideration of $1.2 billion, based on a "cash-free, debt-free" principle as of September 30, 2025 [1][4] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition agreement was signed on June 29, 2025, between Zijin's subsidiary and Cantech S.à.r.l [1] - The RG gold mine project is located in the Akmola region of northern Kazakhstan and has a core mining right valid until December 31, 2040, with the possibility of extension [2] - The project has a total resource amount of 241,000 kilograms of gold at an average grade of 1.01 grams per ton, based on a gold price of $2,000 per ounce [2] Group 2: Project Characteristics - The RG gold mine consists of two open-pit mines and has stable production operations with detailed stripping plans [3] - The project has produced 2 tons, 5.9 tons, and 6.0 tons of gold from 2022 to 2024, with a projected average annual production of approximately 5.5 tons over the remaining service life of 16 years [3] - The cash cost of gold production for the project in 2024 is estimated at $796 per ounce [3] Group 3: Strategic Importance - The acquisition aligns with Zijin Mining's strategy to increase resource project acquisitions in neighboring countries, enhancing its presence in the resource-rich Central Asian region [4] - The RG gold mine is expected to contribute to Zijin's production and profit in the acquisition year, with a short expected investment return period [4] - The transaction is anticipated to significantly enhance the asset scale, profitability, and global industry position of Zijin Gold International, facilitating its future listing in international capital markets [4]