固定无线接入(FWA)
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美国电信业迎来终极洗牌?高盛预警2026年行业分水岭 点明两大赢家与输家
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 03:33
Core Insights - Goldman Sachs analyst Michael Ng indicates that 2026 may be a pivotal year for the U.S. telecommunications and cable industry due to the accelerated integration of mobile and fixed-line services and increasing competition [1] Group 1: Company Performance - AT&T and T-Mobile are identified as having the most favorable growth trajectories, attributed to their ongoing investments in spectrum resources and network modernization [1] - T-Mobile holds a significant advantage in network quality due to its extensive mid-band spectrum holdings, while AT&T showcases strong network capabilities through industry-leading capital investments and infrastructure [1] - Verizon is rated as "buy" as its service revenue growth is expected to increase with the acceleration of average revenue per user (ARPU) for postpaid mobile services [2] Group 2: Market Trends - The U.S. is projected to see over 55 million new fiber-covered users between 2024 and 2029, which will act as a growth engine for telecom companies by reducing churn rates and enhancing customer lifetime value and profitability [1] - The fixed wireless access (FWA) sector sees T-Mobile as the most proactive player, while AT&T's investment is comparatively lower but will benefit from the transition away from copper networks [2] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Charter Communications and Altice USA are rated as "sell" due to intense competition from fixed wireless access and fiber services, which may adversely affect their operational performance [3] - The bundling of cable and wireless services is viewed as a preferred consumer choice, with AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile leading in this competitive area [3][4] - Despite having the largest bundled service user base, cable companies are still losing broadband users, indicating that bundling strategies may only mitigate user churn rather than prevent it entirely [4]