Core Viewpoint - The recent significant decline in the stock price of Jingfa Property (01354) has raised concerns, particularly following a drop of 51.08% on June 20, 2023, attributed to panic selling and impending lock-up expirations [1][11]. Market Performance - On June 20, the stock fell to 9.5 HKD, with a trading volume of 1.112 million shares and a total market capitalization of 633 million HKD [1]. - The stock experienced a cumulative decline of 65.45% over five trading days from June 16 to June 20, with an average daily trading volume of 324,000 shares [5][6]. Lock-up Expiration - The upcoming lock-up expiration on July 2, 2023, for two cornerstone investors, Tianbo Diagnostics and Dingzhun Education, is expected to exert downward pressure on the stock. These investors hold a combined 8.78% of the total shares, valued at approximately 55.62 million HKD at current prices [4][11]. - Both cornerstone investors are based in Xi'an, Shaanxi, and have significant unrealized gains, which may incentivize them to sell [4]. Technical Indicators - Technical indicators show a bearish trend, with moving averages indicating a downward trajectory and MACD signaling a strong bearish sentiment [7]. - The stock price is significantly below the 30-day and 60-day moving averages, suggesting a lack of upward momentum [7]. Institutional Activity - Recent trading data indicates that major selling institutions include Yao Cai and HSBC, with significant sell-offs leading to increased selling pressure [9]. - The top five institutional holders account for 81.61% of the shares, with notable selling activity from institutions that also hold significant positions [9]. Financial Performance - Jingfa Property reported a total revenue of 952 million HKD for the year ending December 31, 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.4%. Gross profit increased by 21.4% to 143 million HKD, with net profit rising by 19.8% to 61.09 million HKD [12]. - Despite steady financial growth, the company faces challenges due to its heavy reliance on a limited geographic area and major clients, which could impact future growth [13]. Long-term Concerns - The company's business is heavily concentrated in Xi'an, posing risks if the local market environment deteriorates [13]. - The reliance on related parties for revenue generation raises concerns about the sustainability of growth and long-term profitability [13].