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天奈科技(688116):2025年三季报点评:Q3单壁贡献利润增量,持续高增可期
Soochow Securities· 2025-10-27 10:42
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that Q3 single-wall carbon nanotubes contributed significantly to profit growth, indicating sustained high growth potential [8] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025 downwards due to slightly lower shipment expectations, while increasing forecasts for 2026 and 2027, anticipating substantial growth in single-wall carbon nanotube shipments [8] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 1 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.8%, and a net profit of 200 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.4% [8] - Q3 revenue was 350 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 8.9% and a net profit of 80 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 35.4% [8] - The gross margin for Q3 was 40.2%, with a net profit margin of 22.8% [8] Product Performance Summary - Multi-wall carbon nanotube shipments remained stable in Q3, with a total of 53,000 tons shipped in the first three quarters, a decrease of 10% year-on-year [8] - Single-wall carbon nanotube shipments saw a significant increase, with Q3 shipments doubling to approximately 1,600 tons [8] - The company plans to expand its production capacity for single-wall carbon nanotubes from 40 tons to 100 tons by the end of the year, with expected shipments of 6,000 to 7,000 tons for the year [8] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 300 million, 710 million, and 1 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 22%, 134%, and 41% [8] - The target price is set at 78 yuan, based on a projected P/E ratio of 40x for 2026 [8]