证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电池 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 1,404 | 1,448 | 1,504 | 2,550 | 3,598 | | 同比（%） | (23.75) | 3.13 | 3.88 | 69.50 | 41.12 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 297.16 | 250.20 | 304.02 | 712.67 | 1,004.08 | | 同比（%） | (29.96) | (15.80) | 21.51 | 134.42 | 40.89 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.81 | 0.68 | 0.83 | 1.94 | 2.74 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 70.28 | 83.47 | 68.69 | 29.30 | 20.80 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 2025 年 10 月 27 日 证券分析 ...

Core Viewpoint - The solid-state battery industry is accelerating, leading to a significant increase in demand for single-walled carbon nanotubes (SWCNTs) as conductive agents, with companies like Tianan Technology achieving substantial output and capacity expansion in this sector [2][11]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - In 2025, Tianan Technology has already achieved a shipment of 1,500 tons of carbon nanotube slurry, with single-walled products accounting for 70% of this volume [3]. - The company expects to increase its single-walled slurry shipments to between 1,500 and 2,000 tons in Q3 2023, with a projected output capacity of 10,000 tons by 2026 [3][11]. - The market for single-walled carbon nanotubes is anticipated to reach a potential scale of $10 billion within five years, driven by their higher profitability compared to traditional products [9]. Group 2: Company Developments - Tianan Technology has established stable partnerships with domestic solid-state battery companies and has also entered international markets, collaborating with QuantumScape in the U.S. [4]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, planning to build a project with an annual output of 450 tons of single-walled carbon nanotubes, with phases set to be completed by the end of 2026 [5]. - Other companies, such as Dao Technology, are also ramping up their production capabilities, with plans to invest in new projects to produce single-walled carbon nanotubes [5][6]. Group 3: Product Innovation - Single-walled carbon nanotubes are expected to see increased usage in solid-state batteries, with their addition rates significantly higher than those of traditional multi-walled carbon nanotubes [7]. - The application of single-walled carbon nanotubes is expanding into emerging fields such as robotics and electronic devices, indicating a broader market potential [8]. - Tianan Technology is also developing a fourth-generation product that combines single-walled and multi-walled slurries, aiming for a lower price point and a target shipment of 10,000 tons by 2025 [10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q2 performance met expectations, with a revenue of 650 million yuan and a net profit of 120 million yuan, both showing a year-on-year increase of 1.1% [8] - The company is reducing the shipment of low-priced first-generation products, with significant growth expected in single-wall carbon tubes [8] - The average selling price of products increased by 3% in Q2, with a projected single-ton profit of approximately 3,000 yuan, reflecting a 10%+ increase [8] - The single-wall carbon tubes are anticipated to be applied in new fields such as solid-state batteries, sodium batteries, robotics, and electronic devices, with a potential market size reaching billions of dollars in the next five years [8] - The company has turned positive in operating cash flow, with a significant increase in cash flow in Q2 [8] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted downwards, but the company maintains a strong growth outlook with a projected net profit growth of 40%/61%/34% for these years [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 1,404 million yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 23.75% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is estimated at 297.16 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 29.96% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is expected to be 0.81 yuan [1] - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 5,139 million yuan by 2024, with total liabilities of 2,175 million yuan [9] - The operating cash flow for 2024 is estimated at 276 million yuan [9]