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毛利率93%年亏1.63亿:万兴科技赴港IPO的AI豪赌与生存大考
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 02:12
Core Viewpoint - Wanjing Technology, known as the "Chinese version of Adobe," plans to go public in Hong Kong to leverage capital markets for AI transformation and globalization, but faces significant challenges including massive losses, intense competition, and controversies over capital operations [1] Group 1: AI Transformation and Competitive Landscape - In the AIGC era, Wanjing Technology has introduced AI features in video editing software, significantly enhancing creator efficiency, with AI-native application revenue expected to reach 67 million yuan in 2024, a 100% increase year-on-year, accounting for 4.65% of total revenue [2] - The company’s AI server usage has surged to over 500 million calls, leading to increased costs and a slight decline in gross margin, with AI revenue contributing less than 5% [2] - Industry insiders express concerns that Wanjing's resource disadvantages may limit its growth potential amid fierce competition in large model development [2] Group 2: Globalization Strategy - Wanjing Technology's globalization strategy has shown significant results, with overseas revenue expected to exceed 90% by Q1 2025, and gross margins 3.43 percentage points higher than domestic [3] - The company has expanded into the Middle East and Africa, with a 34% increase in government and enterprise revenue in 2024, and has established subsidiaries in North America, Japan, and Singapore [3] - However, high localization costs have led to a dramatic 85.73% year-on-year drop in net cash flow from operating activities in 2024, raising concerns about compliance with local regulations and geopolitical risks [3] Group 3: Financial Challenges - Despite a high gross margin of 93.22%, Wanjing Technology reported a net loss of 163 million yuan in 2024, with continued losses in Q1 2025 [4] - Sales expenses reached 849 million yuan in 2024, a 17.42% increase, driven by social media advertising and rising traffic costs, while R&D expenses grew by 9.9% to 442 million yuan [4] - The company’s period expense ratio exceeded 100% for the first time, indicating ongoing financial strain [4] Group 4: Market Competition - Wanjing's core product, Filmora, accounts for 67.06% of software revenue, facing competition from Adobe Premiere Pro and ByteDance's CapCut, which dominate the high-end and entry-level markets respectively [9] - Filmora's pricing strategy is under pressure, with a sales expense ratio of 58.95%, significantly eroding profits [9] - The competitive landscape is challenging, with major players like Adobe and ByteDance leveraging their resources to overshadow Wanjing's growth prospects [9] Group 5: Capital Operation Controversies - Wanjing Technology's capital operations have faced scrutiny, including the early redemption of bonds at a price significantly lower than market value, which harmed small investors [10] - The company's major shareholders have sold over 1 billion yuan worth of shares since its IPO, raising concerns about management's commitment to investor interests [10] - The trust between management and investors has been severely damaged, leading to ongoing market skepticism regarding the company's governance [10] Group 6: IPO Prospects - Wanjing Technology plans to issue up to 15% of H-shares to raise funds for R&D, acquisitions, and debt repayment, with a focus on expanding its B-end market [11] - Despite a 6.06% revenue growth in Q1 2025, the company continues to face significant losses and rising marketing expenses [11] - The upcoming IPO is seen as a critical test of trust and profitability, with doubts about the sustainability of its business model amid fierce competition [11][14]