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上海医药(601607):提质增效持续推进,创新业务驱动成长
China Post Securities· 2025-07-02 05:06
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [7][14]. Core Insights - The company is focused on continuous improvement and efficiency enhancement, with good cost control measures in place. In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 707.63 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.87%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 13.33 billion yuan, down 13.56% [3][4]. - The pharmaceutical commercial innovation business has shown strong growth, with various segments such as import agency and innovative drug services achieving significant revenue increases [5]. - The pharmaceutical industrial sector is advancing in research and development, with multiple products approved and ongoing clinical trials for innovative drugs [6]. Financial Performance - For the forecast period of 2025-2027, the company is expected to generate revenues of 2903.88 billion yuan, 3053.49 billion yuan, and 3212.44 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 50.01 billion yuan, 54.75 billion yuan, and 60.42 billion yuan [7][10]. - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to be 13, 12, and 11 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend [7][10]. Business Segments - The pharmaceutical industrial segment contributed a profit of 5.32 billion yuan, while the commercial segment contributed 8.34 billion yuan in Q1 2025 [3]. - The company’s innovative drug business achieved a revenue of 125 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 23.2% [5]. Market Position - The company has a total market capitalization of 662 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 498 billion yuan, with a current share price of 17.85 yuan [2]. - The company’s largest shareholder is Shanghai Pharmaceutical Group, indicating strong backing from a major player in the industry [2].