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Is It Too Late to Buy Fastenal Stock?
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-09 09:05
Core Insights - Fastenal has established itself as a significant player in the industrial supply chain by focusing on essential yet often overlooked products like fasteners and safety gear [1][4] - The company has demonstrated consistent growth, with a 67% increase in shares over the past three years and a remarkable return of over 13,000% since the mid-1990s [2][12] - Fastenal's innovative supply chain solutions, including the installation of vending machines and on-site stores, have contributed to its success and customer convenience [5][8] Financial Performance - Fastenal has paid and raised its dividend for 25 consecutive years, showcasing its commitment to returning value to shareholders [2][11] - The company has a dividend payout ratio of 80% of earnings, but it maintains zero net debt and has low capital expenditure requirements [12] - Fastenal's management has increased the dividend at an annualized rate of 12% over the past decade, indicating strong financial health [12] Market Position and Growth Potential - Fastenal has approximately 130,000 vending machines installed, reflecting a growth of 12.2% from 2023 to 2024 and 12.4% year-over-year in Q1 2025 [8][9] - The addressable market for Fastenal's vending machines is estimated to support over 1.7 million units, indicating significant growth potential [9] - National accounts represented 63% of total sales in 2024, with no single customer contributing more than 5% of sales, reducing dependency risk [10] Future Outlook - Analysts project that Fastenal will achieve an average earnings growth of just over 10% annually in the long term [13] - Despite the positive outlook, the stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is currently at 42, which may be considered high given the expected growth rate [15] - Investors are advised to consider waiting for a lower price before purchasing shares, as the current valuation reflects the company's strong performance [16]