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中钢国际(000928):毛利率、净利率显著提升,海外市场稳步发展
Guotou Securities· 2025-08-28 14:32
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 7.8 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 6.55 CNY [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant improvement in gross and net profit margins, despite a decline in domestic revenue due to pressure in the metallurgical industry. The overseas market showed steady growth [2][3]. - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 6.745 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 25.66%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 424 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 1.11% [1][2]. - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 15.12%, an increase of 3.66 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved profitability [3]. Revenue Breakdown - Domestic revenue for the first half of 2025 was 1.760 billion CNY, down 59.88% year-on-year, accounting for 26.09% of total revenue, a decrease of 22.25 percentage points [2]. - Overseas revenue reached 4.985 billion CNY, up 6.36% year-on-year, making up 73.91% of total revenue, an increase of 22.25 percentage points [2]. Profitability Metrics - The company’s sales net profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 6.54%, an increase of 1.70 percentage points year-on-year, although the increase was less than that of the gross profit margin due to higher expense ratios [3]. - The operating cash flow showed a net outflow of 2.912 billion CNY, which was an increase in outflow by 1.355 billion CNY year-on-year [3]. International Expansion - The company signed new contracts worth 6.308 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, with domestic projects accounting for 2.444 billion CNY (up 53.81% year-on-year) and international projects at 3.864 billion CNY (down 52.36% year-on-year) [4]. - The company is actively expanding its international market presence, with notable contracts in Indonesia and ongoing projects in Azerbaijan and Saudi Arabia [4][8]. Financial Forecast - The company’s projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 14.810 billion CNY, 15.829 billion CNY, and 16.821 billion CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of -16.08%, 6.88%, and 6.27% respectively [8]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 865 million CNY, 932 million CNY, and 1.004 billion CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of 3.55%, 7.77%, and 7.75% respectively [8].