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安踏体育(02020):上半年集团流水增长双位数,折扣库存健康可控
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-16 09:26
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Anta Sports is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Views - Anta Sports Group achieved double-digit revenue growth in the first half of the year, with healthy and controllable discount inventory levels [1][4] - In Q2 2025, Anta's main brand recorded low single-digit growth, while FILA achieved mid-single-digit growth, and other brands saw a remarkable 50-55% growth [2][4] - The management maintains its annual guidance for all brands despite the overall market pressure [4][5] Summary by Sections Retail Performance - In Q2 2025, Anta's overall revenue growth was double digits, with FILA and other brands performing well. The main brand's low single-digit growth was impacted by channel adjustments [3][5] - The online discount levels were influenced by the extended 618 promotional period, and inventory levels remained healthy [3][5] Brand Performance - Anta's main brand recorded low single-digit revenue growth in Q2 2025, with a sell-through ratio of five months at the end of the quarter. The running shoe series performed exceptionally well [6][9] - FILA's revenue growth was in the mid-single digits, with strong performance in golf and tennis categories [9][14] - Other brands, particularly KOLON, saw revenue growth exceeding 70%, while Descente grew over 40% [10] Financial Forecasts - The forecast for Anta's net profit for 2025-2027 is estimated at 134.8 billion, 154.6 billion, and 170.0 billion respectively, with comparable profit growth rates of 13.0%, 14.7%, and 10.0% [4][15] - The reasonable valuation range is maintained at 113-118 HKD, corresponding to a 2025 PE of 22-23X [4][15]