Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Baozun, with a target price adjusted to US$3.55, reflecting a potential upside of 15.3% from the current price of US$3.08 [1][3]. Core Insights - Baozun reported a total revenue of RMB2.1 billion for 1Q25, representing a 4% year-over-year increase, which is 2% better than Bloomberg consensus estimates. The growth was primarily driven by a 23% year-over-year increase in Baozun Brand Management (BBM) revenue, while Baozun E-commerce (BEC) saw a modest growth of 1.4% year-over-year [1]. - The company is focusing on improving operating efficiency rather than expanding its business for the BEC segment, with expectations of over 20% year-over-year growth in non-GAAP operating profit for 2025 [1]. - The BBM segment is projected to achieve non-GAAP operating profit breakeven by 4Q25, supported by strong performances from brands like Gap and Hunter [1]. Financial Summary - For FY25E, total revenue is expected to reach RMB9.662 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 2.5%. The adjusted net profit is forecasted to be RMB88.5 million, a significant recovery from a loss of RMB65.1 million in FY23A [2][11]. - The report indicates a non-GAAP operating profit forecast of RMB119 million for Baozun in 2025, with a focus on improving margins across its business segments [1][11]. - The company’s financial metrics show a projected return on equity (ROE) of 0.4% in FY25E, improving to 1.8% by FY26E [2][11]. Segment Performance - In 1Q25, BEC revenue grew by 1.4% year-over-year to RMB1.7 billion, while BBM revenue surged by 23% year-over-year to RMB387 million, driven by strong brand performance [1][8]. - The report anticipates BEC to achieve a non-GAAP operating profit growth of 33% year-over-year in 2Q25E, with an improvement in non-GAAP operating margin to 3.8% [1][8]. - The BBM segment is expected to narrow its losses to RMB40 million in 2Q25E, compared to a loss of RMB50 million in the same quarter last year [1][8].