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申菱环境(301018):垂直一体化温控解决商 数据中心+电力行业双轮驱动
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 06:39
Investment Logic - The company has been focusing on environmental regulation equipment for 25 years, with its products targeting four main areas: data services, industrial processes, specialized applications, and public/commercial use. The data services segment saw a revenue increase of 16.2% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, and new orders in this segment grew by 200% year-on-year from January to August, providing strong support for the company's sustained performance [1] Data Services Segment Growth - The company expects revenues from the data services segment to reach 2.7 billion, 4.6 billion, and 6.4 billion yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 77%, 67%, and 39%. This segment is anticipated to be a major growth driver for the company [2] - Global investment in data centers is rapidly increasing, with the combined capital expenditure of the four major CSPs in North America reaching 170 billion yuan, a 64% year-on-year increase. The company secured 250 million yuan in new orders for its overseas data services business in the first half of 2025, marking a significant breakthrough [2] - The cooling solutions for data centers are transitioning from air cooling to liquid cooling. By 2026, it is predicted that over 40% of global data center computing demand will come from high-performance chips, which require enhanced cooling solutions. The company's products cover all aspects of cooling for both air and liquid systems in domestic data centers [2] Industrial Scene and Power Sector Demand - The global industrial temperature control systems market is projected to reach 23.6 billion dollars by 2025, with the public and power sectors accounting for 43% of this market. Industrial cooling systems play a crucial role in maintaining equipment lifespan and ensuring stable output in large projects [3] - The company has extensive experience in delivering thermal management systems and products for projects in wind power, ultra-high voltage, hydropower, and nuclear power, positioning it to benefit from the high demand for temperature control in specialized industrial sectors [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Based on the growth rate of global data center investments and the company's overseas business expansion, it is projected that the company will achieve revenues of 4.39 billion, 6.38 billion, and 8.34 billion yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 45.7%, 45.1%, and 30.8%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 290 million, 420 million, and 670 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 153.1%, 44.5%, and 59.5% [4] - Corresponding EPS is projected to be 1.10, 1.59, and 2.53 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027. The target price is set at 103.2 yuan, with a "buy" rating based on a 65X PE for 2026 [4]