从中期来看，原油市场供需格局调整将主导价格走势。EIA预测，2025年底布伦特原油价格或降至61美 元/桶，2026年进一步下探至59美元/桶，主要基于全球石油库存上升及OPEC+增产的压制。6月 OPEC+会议确认加速推进增产计划，预计9月前完成原定一年半的220万桶/日增产目标，供应宽松预期 持续强化。 需求端则呈现结构性分化。美国夏季出行旺季提振汽油及航空煤油消费，商业原油库存超预期去化；中 国则因汽柴油库存低位、高温及自驾游需求上升，支撑汽油消费稳中向好。然而，一德期货指出，全球 炼厂利润收缩及欧美汽柴油需求峰值已现，边际走弱风险逐渐显现。此外，美联储降息预期升温或短期 提振风险偏好，但难以扭转原油中长期过剩趋势。 综合来看，2025年三季度布伦特油价或围绕60美元/桶震荡，地缘风险反复与OPEC+增产节奏成为关键 变量。若中东局势彻底降温，旺季结束后油价中枢或进一步下探至60美元以下，回归基本面主导的偏空 逻辑。 来源:金融界 近期国际原油市场波动加剧，地缘政治风险与供需基本面博弈成为核心矛盾。2025年6月，中东局势动 荡主导油价先扬后抑，而机构普遍认为，随着伊以停火协议达成及OPEC+增产推进， ...

Market Performance - The three major US stock indices experienced slight declines, with the Dow Jones down 0.63% at 44,371.51 points, the S&P 500 down 0.33% at 6,259.75 points, and the Nasdaq down 0.22% at 20,585.53 points [1] - Major tech stocks mostly rose, with Google up over 1%, Amazon up more than 1%, Tesla up over 1%, Nvidia up 0.5%, and Microsoft up 0.37%. However, Apple fell 0.59% and Facebook dropped over 1% [1] - Chinese concept stocks showed mixed results, with Century Internet up over 14%, Hesai Technology up more than 8%, NIO up over 5%, and iQIYI up over 5%. Conversely, Linklogis fell over 16%, BrainCo dropped more than 10%, Beike fell over 4%, and Bawang Tea dropped over 3% [1] - European stock indices closed lower across the board, with Germany's DAX down 0.82% at 24,255.31 points, France's CAC40 down 0.92% at 7,829.29 points, and the UK's FTSE 100 down 0.38% at 8,941.12 points [1] Commodity Prices - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 1.34% at $3,370.30 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 4.74% at $39.08 per ounce [1] - International oil prices surged, with the main US oil contract up 3.27% at $68.75 per barrel and Brent crude oil up 2.9% at $70.63 per barrel [1] Currency and Bond Markets - The US dollar index rose 0.29% to 97.87, while the offshore RMB closed at 7.1736 against the US dollar [1] - US Treasury yields increased across the board, with the 2-year yield up 1.5 basis points at 3.885%, the 3-year yield up 1.66 basis points at 3.853%, the 5-year yield up 3.68 basis points at 3.969%, the 10-year yield up 6.15 basis points at 4.409%, and the 30-year yield up 7.76 basis points at 4.946% [1] - European bond yields also rose collectively, with the UK 10-year yield up 2.6 basis points at 4.620%, France's 10-year yield up 1.5 basis points at 3.410%, Germany's 10-year yield up 1.9 basis points at 2.721%, Italy's 10-year yield up 1.2 basis points at 3.568%, and Spain's 10-year yield up 1.2 basis points at 3.328% [1]

智通财经APP获悉，周五，三大指数收跌。知情人士透露，美国正致力于与印度达成一项临时贸易协 议，拟将对该国加征的关税税率降至20%以下。知情人士称，与本周收到加税通知的众多国家不同，印 度预计不会收到关税要求函件，双方可能通过联合声明宣布这项贸易安排。 特朗普周四表示，欧盟可能会在周五收到一封关于关税税率的信函，这让华盛顿与欧盟的贸易谈判前景 变得不确定。他还宣布，自8月1日起对所有加拿大进口商品征收35%关税。 【原油】国际油价11日上涨。截至当天收盘，纽约商品交易所8月交货的轻质原油期货价格上涨1.88美 元，收于每桶68.45美元，涨幅为2.82%；9月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格上涨1.72美元，收于每桶 70.36美元，涨幅为2.51%。 【美股】截至收盘，道指跌279.13点，跌幅为0.63%，报44371.51点；纳指跌45.14点，跌幅为0.22%，报 20585.53点；标普500指数跌20.71点，跌幅为0.33%，报6259.75点。英特尔(INTC.US)跌1.64%，苹果 (AAPL.US)跌0.59%，英伟达(NVDA.US)涨0.5%。纳斯达克中国金龙指数收跌0.43%，百度(B ...

布伦特原油向上触及70美元/桶，日内涨2.72%。 布伦特原油 ...

现货钯金涨幅超5 %，铂金大涨超3 % 7月11日，美股开盘后全线下跌，黄金、比特币大涨。消息面上，据央视新闻，特朗普再度怒 批鲍威尔，市场中，又有机构预测美联储降息时间推迟。 黄金、铂金、白银集体大涨！现货白银创1 4年新高 贵金属行情爆发，黄金、白银明显上涨，截至23:30发稿，现货黄金涨超1%，站上3364美元/ 盎司，被誉为"黄金平替"的白银和铂金涨幅更大，目前均涨逾3%。 | | W | | --- | --- | | . | | | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | | NYMEX铝 | 1277.50 | 6.69% | | PA.NYM | | | | 现货把金(美元/ | 1199.69 | 5.62% | | SPTPDUSDOZ.IDC | | | | COMEX白银 | 38.870 | 4.20% | | SI.CMX | | | | COMEX M-B | 38.8630 | 4.19% | | QI.CMX | | | | NYMEX铝 | 1463.5 | 3.61% | | PL.NYM | | | | 伦敦银现 | 38.312 | ...

Core Insights - Brent crude oil increased by 2% to $70.02 per barrel [1] - WTI crude oil also rose by 2% to $66.7 per barrel [1]

WTI原油期货涨幅扩大至2%，报66.722美元/桶。布伦特原油期货向上触及70美元/桶，最新报70.022美 元/桶，日内上涨2.01%。 ...

智通财经7月11日电，WTI原油期货涨幅扩大至2%，报66.722美元/桶。布伦特原油期货向上触及70美元/ 桶，最新报70.022美元/桶，日内上涨2.01%。 ...

智通财经7月11日电，布伦特原油期货涨幅扩大至1%，报69.33美元/桶。 ...

据路透社计算，由于布伦特原油价格走弱，俄罗斯乌拉尔原油价格比西方国家设定的每桶60美元价格上 限低2美元/桶。 布伦特原油 ...