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IPO雷达 | 业务高度依赖宁德时代,纳百川主业盈利能力不强
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-22 07:12
Core Viewpoint - Nabaichuan, under the "strategic partner of CATL" label, is facing challenges with its IPO due to declining profitability despite increasing revenue, amid concerns of overcapacity in the liquid cooling plate industry [1][3]. Financial Performance - Nabaichuan's revenue from 2022 to Q1 2025 was 1.031 billion, 1.136 billion, 1.437 billion, and 337 million respectively, while net profit for the same periods was 113 million, 98 million, 95 million, and 15 million [3]. - The battery liquid cooling plate business accounted for over 80% of Nabaichuan's revenue, with revenue shares of 79.79%, 85.34%, 83.78%, and 92.27% during the reporting period [3]. - The company's gross profit margin has been declining, with figures of 22.00%, 19.43%, 17.54%, and 14.34% over the same period [7]. Customer Dependency - Nabaichuan's sales to CATL have decreased, with CATL's contribution to revenue dropping from 53.73% in 2022 to 44.39% in Q1 2025 [3][4]. - The top five customers in Q1 2025 included CATL with a sales share of 34.49%, down from 37.04% in 2024 [4]. Industry Competition - The liquid cooling plate industry is experiencing aggressive capacity expansion from competitors like Sanhua Intelligent Control and Yinlun [1]. - Nabaichuan's cost control is not competitive compared to peers, with operating costs increasing significantly [10][11]. Inventory and Cash Flow Concerns - Nabaichuan's inventory has been rising, reaching 220 million by Q1 2025, raising concerns about potential depreciation risks [13]. - The company reported negative operating cash flow of 56.5 million in Q1 2025, a decline from positive cash flows in previous years [13]. Future Outlook - Nabaichuan plans to raise 829 million through its IPO, with significant investments in expanding production capacity [14]. - The company faces risks if it cannot improve profitability and manage cash flow effectively, especially in a competitive pricing environment [15].