扣式软包与扣式钢壳锂离子电池
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豪鹏科技(001283):AI硬件催动电池技术革新,增长引擎强劲启动
Huajin Securities· 2025-11-27 14:01
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy (First Coverage)" [3] Core Views - The company is positioned to benefit from the AI hardware-driven innovation in battery technology, with strong growth engines initiated [1] - The integration of battery cells and packs, along with competitive advantages in wearable technology and strategic customer resources, shapes the core competitiveness of the company [2] - The company is focusing on the mainstream consumer sector, leveraging its one-stop service advantages in lithium-ion and nickel-hydride products to meet the evolving demands of global brand clients [2][4] - The company has established a differentiated competitive advantage in the AI sector, with its AI-related business expected to continue growing as AI penetration increases in various consumer electronics [4][6] Summary by Sections Financial Data and Valuation - Projected revenues for 2025 to 2027 are expected to be 60.41 billion, 70.77 billion, and 81.25 billion yuan, with growth rates of 18.2%, 17.2%, and 14.8% respectively [6][7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 2.41 billion, 3.62 billion, and 4.57 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 164.3%, 49.9%, and 26.4% respectively [6][7] - The company’s P/E ratios are projected to be 27.4, 18.3, and 14.4 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][7] Market Dynamics - The global lithium-ion battery market is expected to see significant growth, with a projected total shipment volume of 1,899.3 GWh by 2025 and 5,127.3 GWh by 2030 [14][16] - The demand for consumer electronics, particularly AI PCs and smartphones, is anticipated to drive battery demand, with AI PC shipments expected to reach 1.54 million units in Q4 2024 [17][22] - The wearable product market, including TWS earbuds and smart glasses, is also expected to grow, with AI glasses projected to see a 135% increase in sales from 2024 to 2025 [30][34] Technological Innovations - The company is focusing on technological upgrades and product innovations, particularly in solid-state batteries and high-silicon anodes, which are expected to enhance battery safety and energy density [5][6] - The integration of AI technology into battery products is reshaping the company's profitability model, with a higher willingness from clients to pay for breakthrough solutions [2][5] - The company has successfully developed semi-solid batteries with a volumetric energy density of 950 Wh/L and is advancing solid-state battery technology [5][6]
豪鹏科技(001283):2024年年报、2025年一季报点评:盈利能力逐步修复,多领域布局AI+端侧
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-04-30 09:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [4][11]. Core Insights - The company has shown steady operational performance with a gradual recovery in profitability. In 2024, it achieved a revenue of 5.108 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.50%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 91.25 million yuan, up 81.43% year-on-year. This improvement is attributed to product innovation, expansion of brand clients, and increased shipment volumes [1][4]. - The company focuses on the consumer battery sector, with product lines including square lithium-ion batteries, cylindrical lithium-ion batteries, button soft-pack and button steel-shell lithium-ion batteries, and nickel-hydrogen batteries. The consumer battery business has shown steady growth, with square lithium-ion battery revenue reaching 2.917 billion yuan, up 18.54%, and cylindrical lithium-ion battery revenue at 1.598 billion yuan, up 33.30% in 2024 [2][4]. - The company is pursuing a dual-track development strategy, focusing on core business deepening and breakthroughs in emerging sectors. It has successfully expanded partnerships with leading global tech companies such as Dell, Microsoft, Xiaomi, and iRobot, while also exploring new market opportunities in AI+ hardware [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 6.221 billion yuan in 2025 to 8.505 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.78%, 17.94%, and 15.92% respectively. Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase significantly, reaching 210.44 million yuan in 2025, 327.14 million yuan in 2026, and 421.43 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 130.61%, 55.46%, and 28.82% [4][6].