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西部研究月度金股报告系列(2025年8月):宏观情绪升温,8月如何布局?-20250731
Western Securities· 2025-07-31 06:12
Group 1 - The report highlights that the "anti-involution" trend is driving a super cycle in commodities, particularly benefiting upstream resources and midstream materials, with the true focus being on the midstream sector [2][14] - The report suggests that the "anti-involution" phenomenon is a precursor to debt reduction, indicating that future demand-side policies will be crucial following the recent supply-side adjustments [3][15] - The ROIC-WACC metric is identified as a key indicator for measuring "involution," with industries like coking coal and photovoltaic equipment being classified as "true involution" sectors that are poised for growth [4][16] Group 2 - The report recommends a stock portfolio for August 2025, including companies such as Dingjie Zhizhi (computing), Yuandong Biological (pharmaceuticals), and BYD (automotive), among others [6][11] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring demand-side policy implementation and potential liquidity pressures from overseas markets [5][13] - The report notes that the strong exchange rate is expected to support continued export strength, which may exceed market expectations [5][13]
豪鹏科技(001283):2024年年报、2025年一季报点评:盈利能力逐步修复,多领域布局AI+端侧
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-04-30 09:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [4][11]. Core Insights - The company has shown steady operational performance with a gradual recovery in profitability. In 2024, it achieved a revenue of 5.108 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.50%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 91.25 million yuan, up 81.43% year-on-year. This improvement is attributed to product innovation, expansion of brand clients, and increased shipment volumes [1][4]. - The company focuses on the consumer battery sector, with product lines including square lithium-ion batteries, cylindrical lithium-ion batteries, button soft-pack and button steel-shell lithium-ion batteries, and nickel-hydrogen batteries. The consumer battery business has shown steady growth, with square lithium-ion battery revenue reaching 2.917 billion yuan, up 18.54%, and cylindrical lithium-ion battery revenue at 1.598 billion yuan, up 33.30% in 2024 [2][4]. - The company is pursuing a dual-track development strategy, focusing on core business deepening and breakthroughs in emerging sectors. It has successfully expanded partnerships with leading global tech companies such as Dell, Microsoft, Xiaomi, and iRobot, while also exploring new market opportunities in AI+ hardware [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 6.221 billion yuan in 2025 to 8.505 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.78%, 17.94%, and 15.92% respectively. Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase significantly, reaching 210.44 million yuan in 2025, 327.14 million yuan in 2026, and 421.43 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 130.61%, 55.46%, and 28.82% [4][6].