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监管枷锁解除后富国银行(WFC.US)股价“一飞冲天”!分析师:历史新高仍不是尽头
智通财经网· 2025-12-05 07:05
Core Viewpoint - Wells Fargo's stock price has reached a historical high, driven by strong market expectations for continued double-digit profit growth and the overall strength of the banking sector, influenced by anticipated interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve [1] Group 1: Financial Performance and Projections - Wells Fargo's management expects net interest income (NII) for Q4 2025 to be between $12.4 billion and $12.5 billion, compared to $11.8 billion in the same period last year [1] - The bank's trading-related assets have increased by approximately 50% compared to the end of 2023, with fee income from investment banking growing by 19% in the first nine months of 2025 [2] Group 2: Asset Cap Removal and Growth Potential - The removal of the $1.95 trillion asset cap in June 2025 allows Wells Fargo to expand its balance sheet, increasing deposits, loan portfolios, and securities holdings, which is expected to boost NII [2] - The bank is focusing on deposit growth through enhanced marketing and digital customer outreach, with a 9% increase in new credit card accounts in the first nine months of 2025 [2] Group 3: Cost Management and Efficiency - Wells Fargo has made steady progress in improving cost efficiency, with a projected compound annual growth rate of non-interest expenses at -1.3% through 2024 [3] - The bank plans to reduce its branch network by 2.1% by Q3 2025, resulting in a workforce reduction of 4.3% to 211,000 employees [3] - Management anticipates achieving $15 billion in gross expense reductions by the end of the year through investments in digital capabilities and process automation [3] Group 4: Liquidity and Capital Allocation - As of September 30, 2025, Wells Fargo's liquidity coverage ratio stands at 121%, exceeding the regulatory minimum, with total liquid assets of $486.1 billion [4] - The bank has increased its common stock dividend by 12.5% to $0.45 per share after passing the Federal Reserve's stress test, with a current dividend yield of 2% [4] Group 5: Stock Buyback and Market Outlook - Following a $30 billion stock buyback plan announced in July 2023, Wells Fargo's board approved an additional $40 billion buyback plan in April 2025, with $34.7 billion remaining for repurchase as of September 30, 2025 [5] - The average market rating for Wells Fargo is "Buy," with target prices ranging from $93.71 to $95.54, indicating potential upside from current stock levels [5]